Real Estate Growth: How Long Will It Last?

There has been speculation in the media recently about the fact that real estate will begin to fail and implode as it can only handle so much growth. In my humble opinion these theories don't hold a lot of merit and here is why. First, understand that there are three basic things that undercut the validity of saying that there is a real estate bubble that people are operating in.

1. There is no "international" or "national" real estate market.

2. The real estate market doesn't explode or crash.

3. The market has limited impact on the seasoned investor.

The Real Estate "Market" is an overall view of micro markets nation wide.

When people talk about real estate economics they are usually referring to national or international statistics which in truth are made up of thousands on micro or local real estate markets. So even though you might find a North America wide trend there are still many, many markets which will be completely at odds with the overall numbers.

Real Estate Markets do not "Crash."

We all remember October 19, 1987, known as "Black Monday." The stock market lost 22% of its value in one day - what investors call a "crash." History points to times which real estate values have taken 22% hits in certain cities and in pockets within cities. However, no real estate market dropped 22% in one day, one week or even one month. In fact, the real estate "crash" of the late 1980's took several years to bottom out in most markets.

Keep in mind too the overall performance of the real estate market you are investing in. Those of you who have been active in the Edmonton market the last few years might think that the market is in a slump or downslide, when in reality the numbers they are recording are far above what the average of the last decade show.

The market has limited impact on the seasoned investor.

No matter if you are holding properties long term or doing a quick flip, the local market changes will not affect you in a major way if you are careful. For example if you are doing long term hold revenue properties there is little to no chance that the market will not increase over the term of your holding period. If you are on the other hand flipping properties then you will buy at a higher price in a strong market and will move the property quickly, or get a better price which will help you in higher holding costs in a softer market.

Now, just as a side note for those of you looking at holding properties for future value considerations. If you are buying negative cash flow properties with the expectation of equity increase over 2-3 years then, in the words of a recent article that I read, SHAME ON YOU! If you are using investor's capital to close these deals and the value doesn't increase what are you going to do? What if the value decreases in that time? You are putting investor's capital at risk and as far as I am concerned are acting as an irresponsible speculator, not a seasoned real estate investor!

Steele Tolman teaches people how to successfully invest in real estate through the "Zero Down In Canada Real Estate Investing Home Study Course," web mentoring and seminars. http://www.motivagroup.com

In The News:

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Real Estate Briefs  Naples Daily NewsHow to organize your @home office class. Naples' PREMIER Professional Organizer and Naples Daily News Get Organized columnist Marla Ottenstein will be ...
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FM’s booster dose for real estate  Fortune IndiaThe announcement of credit linked subsidy scheme and increased tax savings will drive the demand for affordable housing.
Deconstructing Budget 2019: What's in it for homebuyers and real estate developers  Moneycontrol.comThe proposal that no notional rent will be levied on second self-occupied homes and that capital gains up to Rs 2 crore can be used to buy two houses, ...
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We want to change the way real estate wealth is managed: Shivam Sinha, founder Indiassetz  Economic Times"Indiassetz Infra Services is a “Family Office for Real Estate Wealth Management”. We manage real estate wealth of high net worth families and NRIs," Sinha ...
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Welcome to Decentraland, where investors spend real-world dollars flipping virtual real estate  CBC.caInvestors are buying plots of land in a virtual city the size of Washington, D.C., hoping to sell them for profit. Others are snapping up space looking to build art ...
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La Crosse County real estate transfers for Sunday, Feb. 17, 2019  La Crosse TribuneThe following are real estate transfers filed in La Crosse County. By law, some transfers are exempt from transfer fees; these properties are listed without prices.
Will a composition scheme under GST help the real estate sector?  Moneycontrol.comThe scheme may have a detrimental effect on real estate prices due to the blockage of input tax credit.
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Bowery Savings Bank Heads to Auction in Unconventional Real Estate Arrangement  BloombergQuint(Bloomberg) -- For the first time in almost two decades, the 32,000-square-foot former headquarters of the Bowery Savings Bank goes on sale today, Feb. 11.
Real Estate Is The New Gateway To The Ivy League For International Parents  ForbesGaining admission to the nation's most elite universities is only growing more competitive, as the number of qualified applicants, and the number of schools ...
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Singaporeans loving the luxury homes foreigners can't buy  The Business TimesTHE BUSINESS TIMES Real Estate - [SINGAPORE] Some of Singapore's most desirable houses come with a catch: only locals can own them.. Read more at ...
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Is it the early days of a real estate revolution? Online realtor Redfin launches in Canada  CBC NewsU.S. real estate brokerage firm Redfin launched in Canada this week — a firm that positions itself as a tech-powered company ready to shake up the way ...
Real-Estate Deals Targeted Again in Renewed Russia Sanctions Bill  Wall Street JournalA bipartisan group of U.S. senators reintroduced sanctions legislation this week targeting Russia that also includes a provision tackling money laundering in ...
Donald Trump ally Tom Barrack examines shake-up of real estate firm  Financial TimesTom Barrack, the real estate tycoon who helped his ally Donald Trump win the White House, has agreed to explore a reorganisation of his Colony Capital ...
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