Race Horses and Mutual Funds

For years investors have been taught to look into the composition of a mutual funds. In other words the "experts" want you to take the time to analyze the stocks within the mutual fund portfolio, categorize them by industry group and try to understand the objective of the fund manager. This is nonsense.

When I go the track I look to see what the horse has been doing for the last several races. I don't give a hoot what he had for breakfast. All I want to know is has he been fast? Is there a good chance he will finish in the money in the next race? I only want to know how he has been performing.

Most mutual fund managers, except those who follow index funds, are always trading. You have no idea that what is in the portfolio today was there yesterday or will be tomorrow. Some fund managers trade more than others, but you can prove this to yourself by looking at the fund prospectus at the beginning of the year and one of the updates that funds publish quarterly. Many of the stocks will still be there, however, you don't know if the percentage holdings are the same.

By the way, don't bother reading a mutual fund prospectus. They are worthless when it comes to making money. Consider that most of the information in it is about a year old by the time you read it. Think about this seriously for a minute. Is there anything you can find out in the document that will show up in your bottom line? I'll wait while you think. OK? There really wasn't anything was there? All prospectuses are basically worthless.

But you say the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) in Washington approved this. No, they did NOT. They don't approve of anything; they just read it to be sure it meets the regulatory requirements for disclosure. There is almost no difference between the prospectus for the worst mutual fund and the best mutual fund and both of them may have been read by the same Dilbert in his cubicle at the SEC.

There is one excellent way to find out which fund to buy. It is based on performance. How much has the fund increased in price during the past 12 months? Just 12 months. Many financial analysts want you to look at 3-year, 5-year and 10-year performance. Remember that horse? I don't care how many races he won 3 or 5 years ago. Can he run NOW? There are many publications and web sites that tell you the best performers. Investor's Business Daily prints a list of best performing funds each day. You might have to see the paper every day as they sometimes just tell about the long-term performance. You want the last 12 months and the last 3 months.

Three years ago you could have bought the best performing fund on the street and today have a dog. I call a dog any mutual fund that is not outperforming the S&P500 index.

If you were a jockey you would want to ride the fastest horses because in many races you get a percentage of the purse. The same applies to mutual funds. You must own only the best performing funds at all times. Like the jockey you must pick the fastest horse if you want to be a winner.

You should review your fund holdings monthly to see that you are only in the best funds. It might take you an hour, but you will find that you will double the current return on your mutual fund investments. Do it!

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

In The News:

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India's stocks are hostage to US Fed rate cycle: Mutual fund giant  The New Indian ExpressWhile the US central bank's influence on emerging assets is hardly an unknown phenomenon, India's USD 2 trillion stock market has also been whipsawed in ...
Best mutual funds to invest in India  Times of IndiaFAQs News: Market analyst says that it would be difficult for investors to get high returns in 2018 pointing to the volatility faced by the stock market. The inv.
How blue chips and top largecaps let your equity funds down in 2018  Economic TimesReturns from most of the top stocks held by mutual funds do not paint a pretty picture.
Mutual funds bet big on these 30 stocks in November; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comMF industry assets grew to Rs 23.4 lakh crore, on the back of improved inflows into liquid funds and steady equity markets.
India's stocks held hostage to Fed cycle, says S Naren  Economic TimesBy Ameya Karve For all the domestic drivers of India's stocks -- from oil to elections to shadow banking shakeouts -- the U.S. Federal Reserve holds the most ...
Why HDFC Bank stock is among the top picks of mutual funds  Business TodayPrivate sector lender HDFC Bank, the third-largest Indian firm by market capitalisation, is among the favourite stocks in the portfolios of mutual funds. Despite ...
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MFs waiting for a fall to buy stocks increase exposure to Nifty futures  Economic TimesFund managers of some large- and multi-cap schemes have been buying the Nifty futures in a bid to boost returns. A look at the factsheets of large fund houses ...
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Sensex, Nifty Extend Rally To Seventh Straight Day: 10 Things To Know  NDTV NewsDomestic stock markets finished Wednesday's session on a positive note as crude prices softened and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced higher bond ...
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Looking to invest in small cap mutual funds? Here’s why it may be a good idea  The Financial ExpressDue to steep decline in stock prices of small cap stocks, their valuations are now looking a lot better than before.
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YES Bank promoters prepay Rs 400 crore loans to Mutual Fund firms: Sources  Economic TimesYes Bank promoter companies today prepaid Rs 400 crore of non-convertible debentures (NCDs) held by two mutual funds. According to ET Now, the promoters ...
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CPSE ETF's third fund offer opens on Nov 28; should you invest?  Moneycontrol.comIt is unlikely that CPSE ETFs will outperform Nifty in the long run because of the nature of public sector organisations where it invests.
Buy now to profit from India vote volatility, FundsIndia says  Economic TimesBy Nupur Acharya Now is the time for equity investors to bet on India's election results, even though the polls aren't likely till May, according to FundsIndia.
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Kotak Mutual Fund is betting on these 5 sectors in 2019  Moneycontrol.comWhile current valuations are not cheap, the fund house expects a further pick-up in earnings.
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Young and riskless: Millennials taking a pass on stocks to emphasize savings  The Globe and MailTo save for retirement, young adults are going to need to put money in equities and let it ride for a few decades.
The Mutual Fund Show: This Asset Manager Topped Crisil’s Ranking And How…  BloombergQuintBased on the performance of asset managers, Crisil ranked 462 funds as of September. Of this, 200 are equity funds, 214 are debt and 48 are hybrid.
Rising volatility is slowing outflows from stock pickers’ funds: Goldman Sachs  MarketWatchMutual fund outflows are on pace for their lowest rate since 2014.
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Capital Concierges: How PMSes are wooing richie rich investors  Economic TimesWhen you invest in PMS, securities (shares, debt papers) are held in individual demat accounts.
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3 JP Morgan Mutual Funds for Striking Returns  NasdaqJPMorgan is one of the best financial management companies in the world. It has a legacy of investment management since 1865. The company pioneered.
Warren Buffett’s changing definition of a value investor, top stock picks for 2019, and Trump’s misguided advice to the Fed  The Globe and MailWarren Buffett's comments at this year's Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, recounted in a must-read November article in Fortune magazine, might constitute ...
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Reliance Nippon CPSE ETF to open Nov 20, to raise Rs 8,000 crore  Moneycontrol.comThe government will raise Rs 8000 crore through Reliance Nippon CPSE ETF with a greenshoe option to retain Rs 4000 to Rs 6000 crore.
Stock News: Investors Keen on Shares of American Assets Trust, Inc. (NYSE:AAT) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over American Assets Trust, Inc. (NYSE:AAT) as their share price hit $41.71 at the end of the most recent trading session.
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Stock Focus: Investors Keen on PC Connection, Inc. (:CNXN) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over PC Connection, Inc. (:CNXN) as their share price hit $30 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock Focus: Investors Keen on Meridian Bioscience Inc. (NASDAQ:VIVO) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Meridian Bioscience Inc. (NASDAQ:VIVO) as their share price hit $17.47 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock Watch: Investors Taking a Second Look at BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:BMRN) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:BMRN) as their share price hit $93.11 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Is your mutual fund buying or selling stocks too much?  LivemintHere are equity mutual fund schemes with the highest turnover.
7 stocks most favoured by mutual funds over last one year  Economic TimesAs the markets hit a speed bump, stocks favoured by mutual funds appear to be safer bets.
How Saudi Prince MBS Secretly Maneuvered Stock Market Through Khashoggi, Other Crises  ObserverA new investigation by The Wall Street Journal found that Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been manipulating Saudi's stock market ...
Stock Watch: Investors Taking a Second Look at Lilis Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:LLEX) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Lilis Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:LLEX) as their share price hit $1.65 at the end of the most recent trading session.
IDFC Tax Advantage (ELSS) Fund - Regular Plan NAV: IDFC Tax Advantage (ELSS) Fund - Regular Plan-Growth Equity Factsheet  Economic TimesObjective: The scheme seeks to build a diversified portfolio comprising of stocks of companies with strong fundamentals that are available at reasonable ...
Stock News: Investors Keen on Shares of Array BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Array BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) as their share price hit $15.97 at the end of the most recent trading session.
The Top 10 Holdings of Our Ultimate Stock-Pickers' Index  Morningstar.comFund investors would like to see their actively managed funds beat the market every year, but they've been left wanting for well over a decade. The lack of ...
Fund managers ready to go shopping after sharp correction in stocks  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds that were holding around 8-10 percent cash level in their equity portfolio are likely to purchase shares of companies in banking and financial ...
Why stopping mutual fund SIPs when stock market falls can jeopardise your financial goals  Economic TimesFear has returned to Dalal Street. Caught in a perfect storm of weak macroeconomic numbers, the IL&FS crisis and fear of more defaults, equity markets have ...
With the economy looking shakier, take these 5 financial steps  USA TODAYMany prognosticators see the economy slowing next year. If that happens, it could change your financial focus. Here are some tips to consider.
Five stocks that mutual funds think can outperform  Economic TimesA volatile month gave fund managers a chance to cherry-pick stocks.
Are mid and small-cap mutual funds holding too many illiquid stocks?  Economic TimesLiquidity has been scarce in Indian capital markets in recent weeks. Mutual funds have also not been spared the pain, with liquid and money market funds ...
Mutual funds' exposure to banks hits 3-month low of Rs 1.88 lakh crore in Sept  Economic TimesMutual funds' holding of banking stocks declined by over Rs 21,600 crore to Rs 1.88 lakh crore in September, driven by the correction in equity markets.
Small- and mid-cap mutual funds open doors again, but should you invest?  LivemintL&T Emerging Businesses Fund and DSP Small Cap Fund have allowed *fresh* mutual fund investments, taking advantage of a continued correction in small- ...
Shall I buy the HDFC AMC stock or mutual fund?  LivemintThe risk of putting all our money in a few stocks is much higher than investing in mutual funds.
How stocks picked by mutual funds over 2014 to 2017 have performed  Economic TimesWhile the most wanted stocks of 2014 and 2015 have done well, the recent picks have disappointed.
New stock ideas boost equity mutual fund portfolios  LivemintIt is imperative for mutual fund houses to beef up their research capabilities, to be able to identify more winning new ideas.
Value focussed MF are cutting their exposure to Indian stocks. What about you?  Moneycontrol.comAs valuations climb, the funds have chosen to stay light on Indian stocks and exposure to bonds and arbitrage has gone up.
Investing in equity mutual funds versus investing in shares: Which is better?  Economic TimesBy Dhirendra Kumar Hopefully, by now my columns have convinced you that most of your long-term investments should be in equity. The next question to be ...
Check out what top five mutual funds bought & sold during October selloff  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Mutual funds stood resilient as industry's asset base increased to Rs 22.23 lakh crore in October in spite of a heavy correction in the domestic ...
Mutual funds that destroyed most investor wealth in the September selloff  Economic TimesThe recent selloff in the stock market has raised fears of a rush for redemption in mutual funds.​
Hot and Cold Stocks of Mutual Funds in October 2018  MoneylifeIn October 2018, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank were the most preferred stocks of Indian mutual funds. The net purchases of Axis Bank were Rs1,504 crore, of which ...
Mutual fund lesson: What should you do in volatile markets?  Moneycontrol.comCost of investing in equities is that it is a volatile asset class- there will be times when your portfolio value will be lower than what you invested.
Mutual fund holdings in IT stocks touch all-time high  Economic TimesMumbai: Fund managers are betting big on the IT sector, on the back of an improving global macro environment, depreciating rupee and rise in IT spends.
Why your mutual fund earned you less than Nifty in recent market rally  Economic TimesThe more the number of stocks in an index, the weaker is its performance.
These 18 consistent mutual funds may help you to beat stock market volatility  Economic TimesMany equity mutual fund advisors abhor volatility in the stock market. They are always searching for ways to tackle this beast which gives them sleepless nights.
Do not make these 7 mistakes while investing in mutual funds  Moneycontrol.comNever forget that you are investing because you have to achieve your financial goals. Investing without a goal is akin to travelling without a destination.
List of best mutual fund portfolios as per your risk appetite  Moneycontrol.comYou can build a portfolio of mutual fund schemes based on your risk profile.
Mutual fund managers bought & sold these 20 stocks in May  Moneycontrol.comRelative valuations are attractive and around average, but midcap valuations are still looking stretched despite the recent drawdown, Morgan Stanley said in a ...
Some international funds are giving around 40% returns. Should you invest?  Economic TimesInternational mutual funds are topping the return charts. The category has returned around 20 per cent in one year. Should retail investors bet on these schemes ...
Is it a good time to invest in small-cap mutual fund schemes?  Economic TimesDespite the slide in the Nifty Smallcap100 index, fund houses seem to be placing faith in small-cap funds again. Should investors take the cue?
Bleeding mutual funds: Should you go back to good old fixed deposits?  Moneycontrol.comAre you worried about the losses on your investments in mutual fund schemes? You are not alone. There are many investors who dumped their good old fixed ...
Top stocks bought and sold by mutual funds in June 2018  IndiainfolineInvestors should focus on longevity to create wealth. We advise investors to stay invested in those stocks whose growth story is still intact.
Investing in mutual funds? Diversify to reduce risks and enhance returns  Moneycontrol.comIn the worst of the times for stock markets, individuals invested across the asset classes are less hit as compared to investors betting all their money on stocks.
Top 10 mutual funds which can double your wealth in long term  The Financial ExpressMutual funds are one of the most popular and smart ways for investors to build wealth over the long term. One can also double one's money, if planned properly.
How much do mutual fund managers invest in their own schemes?  Moneycontrol.comEver since SEBI mandated mutual fund houses to disclose how much fund managers, directors of the asset management company and other key employees ...
Investing in stocks needs deep understanding of markets  LivemintDirect investing into individual stocks requires deep understanding of the markets and continuous involvement into investing.
Here are top buys and sells by mutual funds in August when Sensex, Nifty hit record highs  Moneycontrol.comAmong largecaps, HDFC AMC, Sun TV Network, TVS Motor, Vedanta and Tech Mahindra topped the August buying list of top 10 mutual fund houses which ...
10 mutual fund options that could be good bets as markets trend higher  Moneycontrol.comInvestment advisors feel this is time for caution and that investors should veer more towards funds with exposure towards large-caps or those that are multi-cap ...
How to Invest in Mutual Funds  The Motley FoolIf you want to understand how to pick the right mutual fund for you, you've come to the right place. In the guide below, I've put together all the major pieces of ...
Mutual Funds Four Strategies For Managing A Portfolio Of Mutual Funds  InvestopediaNow that you've built your portfolio of mutual funds, you need to know how to maintain it. Let's talk about how to manage a mutual-fund portfolio by reviewing four ...
HDFC AMC, Reliance Nippon stocks fall over 9% after Sebi caps expense ratio of mutual funds  Business TodayThe stocks of asset management companies (AMCs) fell in trade today on fears of lower revenues after market regulator Sebi capped expense ratio for mutual ...

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