Bottoms Ups

If you have talked to a stock broker or financial planner in the last few days I will bet they all agree that there are some great bargains out there and now is the time to start buying in anticipation that the market will go back up. You will also find agreement from the talking heads on CNBC and those talk radio station stock mavens. No one says sell. It looks like bottom pickers heaven.

A year ago when the Nasdaq was 2000 points higher they were telling you the same thing. Buy. Buy. Buy. If they are so smart to get you to buy now then why weren't they smart enough to tell you to sell when it was way up there? There are two basic rules for professional traders: never let a profitable trade go to a loss and never take a large loss. The talking heads are either not professionals or don't understand their business.

Since the beginning of the year the tech stocks have lost 34% and from last year they are down from the highs 65% and it looks like they are going lower. Isn't it time to end the bloodletting and sell? The problem with the small investor is he doesn't believe he has a loss until he sells. Wall Street has taught him that the market 'always comes back'. Folks, not this time.

All classes of mutual funds have posted losses in the first quarter of 2001 for the first time since 1980.

Has your broker or financial planner called you to sell out to go to the safe haven of a money market fund? I will bet he hasn't. Unfortunately these "experts" are not taught to protect your capital. They will watch their customers' account dwindle away 30%, 40% 50% and more and never do anything about it. It isn't their money. It is yours. You have to take the responsibility to guard it. The average broker has 300 clients. Unless you are a 7-figure account you will not receive any attention. Of the 77,000,000 mutual fund owners in the U.S. 80% of those accounts have less than $50,000. Their advice is either none or bad.

We know the economy is slowing down and has been since early last fall. The market was continuing to go up in anticipation and was ignoring underlying facts. The emotional enthusiasm was carrying it to new highs almost every day. Of course, Mr. Greenspan didn't help anything by raising interest rates when he should have known better. It is the brokers' job to sell stock and make commission, but it should also be his job to advise the neophyte investor to protect his capital.

The trend is your friend. The trend is down. It is still not too late to sell and put what's left of your cash in a money market account. Forget about your losses. That money is gone. You must protect what you have left. Never try to pick the bottom. There are no "bargains" at this level. Cash is the best position right now.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

In The News:

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IBD 50 Stocks To Watch: Essent Near Buy Point As Business Booms  Investor's Business DailyEssent Group, featured in today's IBD 50 Stocks To Watch, could benefit from the Fed's rate cut. The leading growth stock is also close to a buy point.
Stocks in the news: HDFC, YES Bank, Gruh Finance, PNC Infratech, Hindalco and Adani Green  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange were trading 3.50 points, or 0.30 per cent, lower at 11,004.50, indicating a flat start for Dalal Street.
Strategic Value Investing: Value Investing in Mutual Funds  Yahoo FinanceCan you still be a value investor if you have turned to mutual funds or exchange-traded funds? The authors of "Strategic Value Investing: Practical Techniques of ...
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What India's biggest mutual funds bought and sold in July  LivemintInvestors in Indian equity mutual funds bought more last month, unfazed by the selloff that saw the nation's $1.9 trillion market log its worst July in 17 years.
Penny Stocks To Billions? Only Two Rare Examples  Investor's Business DailyThe idea of turning pocket change into a billion bucks is alluring. But this mirage of penny stocks is also nearly a complete fantasy.
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Is it time to stop investing in equity mutual fund schemes?  Economic TimesIt is difficult to predict the market but many pundits feel it clearly needs some firm signal from the govt.
Diversify your portfolio by investing a portion in US-focused mutual funds  MoneycontrolDeveloped markets such as US have delivered significant returns over market cycles.
MF shopping list: Top 30 stocks that fund managers bought & sold in June  MoneycontrolMutual funds increased allocation to private banks, consumer, utilities, technology, NBFCs, retail, metals and PSU bank stocks in June, an ICICIdirect report said.
Top 10 stocks that mutual fund managers bought and sold in March 2019  Moneycontrol.comData for equity flows into mutual funds for March came as a breather after a weak February. An increase in net inflows in equity and income category led to the ...
Why picking the right mutual fund is key in a tough market  LivemintWhy have mutual fund (MF) returns fallen? Mutual funds primarily invest in equity (stocks) or debt (bonds). On the equity side, mid and small cap MFs have given ...
Should you invest in international mutual funds?  LivemintIf you were to sort all equity mutual funds available for retail investment by their one-year performance, international funds would come on top. The best ...
Invest in reliable outperforming mutual funds: Here are 8 of these  Economic TimesThese funds tend to score well on risk-adjusted metrics and hold dependable stocks in their portfolios.
Top 30 stocks that fund managers bought & sold in July; do you own any?  MoneycontrolMutual funds net bought Rs 14,846.75 crore worth of shares last month. Their inflows into equity funds also improved to Rs 8,113 crore in July, rising nearly 6 ...
What India's three largest mutual funds bought and sold in June  Economic TimesHeres what the top three asset managers bought and sold last month.
Consider investing in direct stocks only if you can monitor portfolio proactively  LivemintDirect stocks can be considered if you have the ability to do research to identify the stocks to be bought as well as to be sold.You should be revisiting your ...
When equity mutual funds offer negative returns, here’s what you do  Economic TimesThe need of the hour is to stay insulated from the panic in the market.
Mutual funds’ exposure to this space at all-time high; should you buy?  Economic TimesMoney managers on Dalal Street continued to shower affection on private banks for the ninth successive month as their exposure hit 19.90 per cent in June, ...
Best mutual funds to invest for 3 to 4 years  Economic TimesIf you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook. We will get it answered by our panel of experts.
What India's top three mutual funds bought and sold in March  Economic TimesIndias largest money manager held 1.5 trillion rupees in equities.
Flows into mutual funds revive in May as Modi win seems to spur risk demand  LivemintFlows into Indian equity mutual funds in May rebounded from the smallest in 31 months as Prime Minister Narendra Modi's comfortable electoral win spurred ...
Here are a few mutual funds that stocked up on YES Bank in Q4FY19  Business StandardShares of YES Bank tanked 30 per cent in trade on Tuesday, after the bank reported a massive Rs 1,507 crore loss in the fourth quarter of financial year 2018-19 ...
Sensex's rise from 20K to 40K: 5 lessons for equity mutual fund investors  Economic TimesWe look at some critical lessons that equity fund investors learnt during the journey of Sensex reaching 40K.
Mutual fund investors showing great appetite for assuming risk: Dhirendra Kumar  Economic TimesOne would have thought that new investors who came into mutual funds will be running away. But they are getting into riskier category of funds and the scale of ...
Actively-managed large cap mutual funds poised for a comeback  Economic TimesDefying predictions of their imminent irrelevance, some actively-managed large cap mutual fund schemes have bounced back to the top of the return chart.
Mutual funds shooting themselves in the foot?  Economic TimesWhat if banks take a leaf out of Kotak and HDFC Mutual Funds' decision to direct investors to come another day to get their money instead of paying them on the ...
What India's top three mutual funds bought and sold in May  LivemintInflows into Indian equity mutual funds in May rebounded from the smallest in 31 months as Prime Minister Narendra Modi's comfortable electoral win spurred ...
6 bad money habits that investors should give up  Economic TimesSome habits can exact a heavy toll on your finances. We look at a few common ones that you should give up.
Mutual fund SIPs don't make equity investing risk-free. Here's why  Economic TimesSIPs do reduce the risk of market timing & allow investors to buy more units when their price falls.
A young investor’s guide to mutual funds  Economic TimesMany young investors, who are barely a year or two old in their career, are eager to start investing in mutual funds. ETMutualFunds.com receive many queries on ...
Is it time to switch to index mutual funds?  Economic TimesBy Rishabh Parakh It is one of the hottest topics debated these days: is it time for mutual fund investors to switch to passively-managed index funds from their ...
How income from stocks and mutual funds are taxed for an individual  Moneycontrol.comCapital gains from transfer of unlisted share are considered as STCG where period of holding is less than or equal to 24 months, and LTCG when holding period ...
SIPs in equity mutual funds are giving negative returns. What should you do?  Economic TimesSIP returns for many investors in mid- and small-cap funds in the last one year are negative after the sharp market correction. The key is to choose a fund wisely ...
How concentrated is your mutual fund portfolio?  LivemintA concentrated portfolio can backfire badly if the fund manager's strategy goes wrong.A portfolio with few stocks can fall sharply if share prices of most stocks in ...
Value mutual funds have given good returns over long term but can underperform in short term  Economic TimesOver the years, the benefits of value investing have been espoused by several market gurus and fund managers. Discussions around this investing philosophy ...
Stay away from stock tips  LivemintIf taming the stock market was easy, everyone would do it.Losing money in market is real and facing volatility is part of the deal.
Equity mutual funds are offering negative returns. What should investors do?  Economic TimesAll equity mutual fund categories have been offering negative average returns in the last one year. Small cap and mid cap schemes were hit the most, with ...
Should you invest in algorithm-based quant mutual funds?  Economic TimesQuant funds work on a data-driven model that relies on a mix of parameters and algorithms to identify the right stocks at the right time. But can they beat actively ...
Understand difference between large-cap, mid-cap and multi-cap mutual funds when investing  Economic TimesExperts say large and mid cap mutual funds have carved a niche for themselves in portfolios.
Can mutual funds give multibagger returns like stocks?  Economic TimesStocks can be multibaggers. They can offer extraordinary returns in a very short period. Can mutual funds ever do that? This was a question thrown at Rajeev ...
Best mutual funds to invest for 10 to 15 years  Economic TimesIf you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook. We will get it answered by our panel of experts.
What top mutual funds bought and sold last month  LivemintMumbai: Inflows into Indian equity mutual funds in January were the smallest in two years as heightened market volatility and political uncertainty cooled ...
Stick to MFs if you lack knowledge on stocks  LivemintWhile equity is surely the way going forward considering your age and the financial goals, how you buy in equity is important.Direct stocks work very well if done ...
Top 25 equity mutual funds failed to deliver positive returns in June  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Top 25 mutual fund schemes, managing retail money in excess of $1 billion (Rs 7,000 crore) each, failed to deliver positive returns in June.
Govt tweaks rules, increases limit to disclose investment in stocks, mutual funds for employees  Economic TimesNew Delhi: The Centre has increased the over 26-year-old monetary limit on disclosure of investment in shares and mutual funds by employees to six months of ...
Fund managers bet over Rs 8.5K crore on these 6 stocks in July; do you own any?  MoneycontrolFund managers added large-cap private banks, utilities, energy and select FMCG names.
MF portfolio doctor: Babji needs to exit direct investments in stocks, take mutual funds route  Economic TimesThe Portfolio Doctor assesses the health of the fund portfolio, examines the schemes and their suitability with regard to the goals.
Budget 2019: what can mutual fund investors expect today?  Economic TimesSome fund managers say the government can offer exclusive tax deductions for the product if it wants to increase investor participation in mutual funds.
Why do wealth managers recommend multi cap mutual funds?  Economic TimesMany wealth managers believe multi-cap funds are a good starting point for long-term investors, specially those using SIPs for wealth creation.

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