Momentum

One of the basic laws of physics states that a body in motion will continue in motion in the direction it is going until interrupted by another force.

That basic physics law also applies to stocks and mutual funds. To see this trend it will be very apparent in a weekly or monthly chart rather than a daily chart. The daily chart shows too much noise (random movement).

In the Friday edition of Investor's Business Daily you will find 37 weekly charts on the back page of Section 2. One of the common occurrences among these issues is the steady upward progression of price, many with an angle of 30 degrees or more. The up movement of price may have been going on for many months. This is the kind of stock you want to own and even add to your position as it continues upward.

Most brokers talk about dollar cost averaging and mean adding to a stock as it goes down. That is stupid. There is only one right way to dollar cost average and that is when it is going up - NEVER down. Averaging down will put you in the poor house.

Today's stock market (end of 1999) we see the upward momentum of almost all the major stock averages - the DOW Jones Industrials, the S&P500, the Russell 2000 and many more. Some of these indexes are headed for the stratosphere. No, I have no idea how high or how far is up, but remain 100% invested to take advantage of this runaway bull. The market will tell me when to sell.

For anyone holding individual stocks about the only thing you can do is set a trailing stop-loss order so that when the issue turns you will be out with a nice profit. Don't try to predict the top because you will sell too soon. Let the stock itself tell you when to get out. The amount of the stop will be up to you, but I like about 10% of Friday's closing price. Never move the stop down.

There are people who buy mutual funds and put them away and never look to see how they are doing. This is a mistake. You are hurting your financial future if you do not regularly review your funds. Monthly is best, never less that quarterly. Momentum applies here too and even more so because many funds have a bias to a particular sector of the market. There are big caps, small caps, regional, international, value, etc., etc., etc. A policy to enhance your income is to see which sectors or groups are doing best and be invested in a fund that is heavily in that sector.

Mutual funds of a certain sector will run up for months at a time, even years, but when that sector becomes weak you should sell immediately and buy a stronger one. If you are with a discount broker there will be no commission to switch and, of course, you only buy no-load funds. Never blindly buy and hold any fund.

As you become aware of the momentum of various sectors and switch to stay with the strongest you can easily double your current return.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

[email protected]; 1-888-345-7870

In The News:

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What to do if your mutual fund scheme earns more return than your investment  Economic TimesAre the returns shown in your mutual fund account statement same as the returns delivered by your fund? It is quite likely that you might have earned less than ...
'Mutual funds toh sahi hai but alternatives may deliver better returns'  MoneycontrolHowever, AIF investments are open only for those who can invest more than Rs 1 crore.
First-time investors can look at these mutual funds for long term  Economic TimesInvestors, who were waiting on the sidelines for the uncertainty to recede, are now looking to deploy their cash. But, valuations remain steep.
The dangers of high mutual fund inflows  LivemintMutual funds have put ₹2.4 trillion into markets in the last two years.Equity mutual funds receive ₹8000 crore monthly through SIPs.
7 stocks most favoured by mutual funds over last one year  Economic TimesAs the markets hit a speed bump, stocks favoured by mutual funds appear to be safer bets.
A look at mistakes committed by investors of equity mutual fund schemes  Moneycontrol.comBalwant Jain. The interest of investors has been shifting from direct equity investing to equity mutual funds over a few years. Though this is a welcome trend, ...
What top 5 money managers bought and sold in February  Economic TimesFebruary was the fourth consecutive month of decline in net investment into equity mutual funds.
How concentrated is your mutual fund portfolio?  LivemintA concentrated portfolio can backfire badly if the fund manager's strategy goes wrong.A portfolio with few stocks can fall sharply if share prices of most stocks in ...
I want to invest Rs 1 crore in stocks and mutual funds for 5 years. How should I invest?  Economic TimesYou may consider the following asset allocation: 40% in large-caps; 40% in large and mid-cap, or multi-caps; and remaining 20% in mid- and small-cap funds.
Best mutual funds to invest in 2019  Economic TimesWhich are the best mutual funds to invest? Most investors have this query before they start investing in mutual funds. Curiously, it is the first question most ...
Active mutual funds fail to reflect index gains  Economic TimesThe Nifty, which has hit all-time highs for the second time in April, has advanced 12% in the last one year. But these gains are yet to reflect in many mutual funds' ...
Stop! Too many stocks, mutual funds are not good for you; Buying too many may not get you more  The Financial ExpressHandling the overall risk of investments is crucial, but not at the cost of not meeting your financial goals. Over-diversification can do this.
How well-off are the Lehigh Valley’s members of Congress?  Allentown Morning CallA new round of annual financial disclosures forms provides offer a glimpse into the financial holdings of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation.
Mutual Fund Update: Stocks that attracted fund managers in April 2019  Dalal Street Investment JournalIf we look at the March 2019 data, then the energy sector was the one that featured on top of the buying done by the fund managers. However, the story in the ...
Sebi allows mutual funds in exchange traded commodity derivatives  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) on Tuesday allowed mutual funds to participate in exchange-traded commodity derivatives ...
Mutual Fund Update: Stocks that attracted fund managers in May 2019  Dalal Street Investment JournalIf we look at the April 2019 data, media and communication sector stocks featured in the top buying done by the fund managers. However, story in the month of ...
Should you invest in mid- and small-cap funds now?  LivemintWith the new government taking office with a massive majority, it has the elbow room to push through the reforms. No wonder markets are expecting the ...
Here’s a better tool to judge mutual fund performance than simple 1-year, 3-year returns  Economic TimesOne invests in mutual funds to earn potentially higher returns than those in traditional investment products, and I'm sure everyone looks at the one-year, ...
Are you looking for profits or to create wealth from mutual funds?  Economic TimesBy Ashish Modani I give you two mutual fund schemes to choose from – Scheme A and Scheme B. Scheme A has given stellar returns over a 15-year period.
The best, safe mutual funds to invest for 15 years  Economic TimesI am 29 years old. I want to start an SIP of Rs 20,000 in mutual funds for a period of 12 to 15 years. Please suggest me the best and safe mutual funds? My target ...
Here are top 10 large, mid & small-cap stocks that MFs bought and sold in May  MoneycontrolAmong largecaps, Vodafone Idea, DLF, Bharti Airtel, HDFC Life Insurance and Piramal Enterprises witnessed highest buying during May 2019.
Should investors with very long term horizon always pick small cap mutual funds?  Economic TimesMutual fund investors assume that their risk taking ability goes up if they have really long investment horizon.
ITR filing: Income tax department makes disclosing LTCG from stocks, equity mutual funds simpler  LivemintThe Finance Bill 2018 reintroduced tax on LTCG made from listed shares and equity-oriented mutual fund.You only need to disclose the total LTCG from ...
Best mutual funds to build Rs 1 crore for my son’s education  Economic TimesI want to build a corpus of Rs 1 crore for my son's education. He is now 3 years old. My investment horizon is 15-20 years. I have been investing in the following ...

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