Market Psychology

Today we are inundated with tons of information about the economy, stocks, government agencies and foreign governments. They show us charts and graphs of the increase/decrease in oil production over the last 5 years, the amount of maple syrup produced in Vermont for the past century, the time it takes to bounce a signal off the moon and all kinds of other nonsense that we can live without. The talking heads on the investment programs, both radio and TV, tell us how this is going to affect the price of certain stocks and the market in general. Well, maybe.

When you step back to get a better view of the market because the trees are in the way you really get a different view. No matter what stock or mutual fund you own there is one important factor that is causing all of them to change. It is the mass thinking of all the people who own equities of any type. The stock market is a reflection of this mass thinking and causes changes in human behavior. This mass thinking does not necessarily reflect what the economy is doing at any specific moment.

Take the euphoria of stock buyers at the end of 1999 and the beginning of 2000. All the mass psychology was bullish and everyone knew the market was going to go higher. The economy knew better and stocks headed down. The market was a reflection of what we could not see.

Currently many people are becoming bearish and think the market is headed lower, but no one really knows until after the fact. It is dangerous to be either bullish or bearish at this moment. So what is the best course of action when you are not sure of what to do with your money? Keep in mind that protection of your capital, especially your retirement money, is a prime consideration. If you own a stock now that has been going up you don't want to sell it, but you can protect yourself against loss and lock in profit by placing an Open Stop-Loss Order with your broker. Keep moving the stop up as the stock goes higher.

If you have a stock or fund that is going down you must either sell out or place an order to get out if it goes down further. Usually 10% is about right. If your stock is $40 place your stop at $36.

If the mass psychology becomes too negative it can cause massive selling and even the best equities get flushed. All boats go down when the tides goes out. If you do not have a loss limit in place at all times you will lose your investment capital. The example of this was what happened when the World Trade Center was destroyed. Selling was caused by mass psychology and had little to do with valuation.

It is a herd instinct and you don't want to be led to slaughter will all the other dumb animals. Protect your money. Put in a stop today.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

[email protected]; 1-888-345-7870

In The News:

Gross inflows into MFs dropped in Jan; 10 stocks that fund houses bought & sold  Moneycontrol.comThe equity asset value of top 20 mutual funds dropped 1.6 percent month-on-month (MoM) to Rs 8.3 lakh crore in January, thanks to the fall in the stock market ...
Quantum Mutual Fund uses cash pile to buy stocks cheap  Economic TimesQuantum Long Term Equity Value Fund, where value investing is the pronounced fund allocation theme, has brought down the level of cash at its plan to the ...
These are fertile grounds for long-term stock pickers, says Samir Rachh of Reliance Mutual Fund  Economic TimesSmall cap funds are going through a rough patch after a bull run in 2017.
Golden opportunity for mutual fund investors? Bharat 22 ETF opens just for 1 day; Should you invest?  The Financial ExpressAs per the scheme's objective, the Bharat 22 ETF aims to provide returns that closely correspond to the returns provided by S&P BSE Bharat 22 Index.
FPIs go big on stocks of financials, mutual funds on energy and IT sectors  Business StandardForeign portfolio investors (FPIs) added positions in stocks of financials, and reduced their exposure to the energy sector, an analysis of December 2018 quarter ...
Mutual funds buying consumer facing scrips  The Asian AgeMumbai: Consumer focused companies saw higher buying by the mutual funds in the month of January while capital intensive stocks saw more selling by the ...
What India's top three MFs bought and sold in January  Economic TimesStock funds took in a net Rs 6160 crore, the least since January 2017.
Quick Take | Covered calls for mutual funds will help stabilise NAV fluctuations  Moneycontrol.comAllowing mutual funds to participate in the options market will bring more liquidity to stock options and stabilise returns for the fund.
Is Fidelity Low-Priced Stock (FLPSX) a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now?  Yahoo FinanceOn the lookout for a Mid Cap Value fund? Starting with Fidelity Low-Priced Stock (FLPSX) is one possibility. FLPSX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank of 2 (Buy), ...
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3 Global Mutual Funds to Buy Now  Zacks.comBelow we share with you four top-rated global mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
How large-cap stocks gain from an established foothold and stable cash inflows in a dynamic market  QriusAsset allocation is vital for creating a successful portfolio strategy. In May 2018, the total assets in the Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) crossed $5 trillion in the ...
Top mutual funds still have Rs 8,650 crore exposure to DHFL & four group entities  Economic TimesAs skeletons tumble out one after another from the closets of highly leveraged companies, domestic mutual funds with exposure to such entities are finding ...
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Mutual funds and FIIs suffer big losses in Zee, Vedanta, DHFL stocks  Business StandardMutual funds (MFs) and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have seen sharp erosion in the value of their investments as allegations of corporate governance ...
Here are the top 3 sectors mutual funds were betting on in December  Moneycontrol.comThe funds deployed 21.85 percent of their equity assets under management (AUM) into the banking sector.
Fund managers raised stake in 194 stocks in Dec quarter. Is it a good idea to follow them?  Moneycontrol.comif good or quality stocks are getting hampered with external factors, investors should use the dips to buy into stocks which they think hold long term growth ...
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Closing Bell: Indices close off day's low with Nifty above 10700; metal, pharma stocks under pressure  Moneycontrol.comThe Sensex was down 67.27 points at 35808.95, while Nifty was down 21.60 points at 10724.40.
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4 Funds Building a Position in Housing Recovery in 2019  Zacks.comA series of dismal reports about America's housing industry have been released recently. This has led to speculation that the space is headed for yet another ...
Equity Compensation Increasingly Used for Financial Wellness and Retirement  PLANSPONSOREquity compensation programs are increasingly viewed as part of participants' overall financial strategies, according to research from Fidelity Investments.
UPDATE 1-U.S.-based emerging market stock funds attract most cash since Jan 2018 -Lipper  ReutersU.S. fund investors emboldened by cautious monetary policy are adding stakes in emerging-market stocks at the fastest pace in about a year, Lipper data ...
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7 stocks most favoured by mutual funds over last one year  Economic TimesAs the markets hit a speed bump, stocks favoured by mutual funds appear to be safer bets.
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Mutual funds bet big on these 30 stocks in November; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comMF industry assets grew to Rs 23.4 lakh crore, on the back of improved inflows into liquid funds and steady equity markets.
Stock Focus: Investors Taking a Second Look at Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (:GPMT) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (:GPMT) as their share price hit $18.93 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock News: Investors Keen on Pioneer Natural Resources Company (NYSE:PXD) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Pioneer Natural Resources Company (NYSE:PXD) as their share price hit $141.39 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Stock Review: Investors Focusing on Shares of NuStar Energy LP (NYSE:NS) as Company Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over NuStar Energy L.P. (NYSE:NS) as their share price hit $25.65 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock Focus: Investors Taking a Second Look at Array BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Array BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) as their share price hit $21.37 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Check out what top five mutual funds bought & sold during October selloff  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Mutual funds stood resilient as industry's asset base increased to Rs 22.23 lakh crore in October in spite of a heavy correction in the domestic ...
Fund managers ready to go shopping after sharp correction in stocks  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds that were holding around 8-10 percent cash level in their equity portfolio are likely to purchase shares of companies in banking and financial ...
Mutual funds may need smart bets on smallcap stocks to beat ETF show  Economic TimesSmallcap stocks could see up to ₹1 lakh cr inflow as fund managers look for potential winners: Analysts.
Hot and Cold Stocks of Mutual Funds in October 2018  MoneylifeIn October 2018, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank were the most preferred stocks of Indian mutual funds. The net purchases of Axis Bank were Rs1,504 crore, of which ...
Shall I buy the HDFC AMC stock or mutual fund?  LivemintThe HDFC Asset Management Co. Ltd stock closed 65% up on the first day of listing over its IPO price of ₹ 1,100 per share. Investors who sold on day one, saw ...
Is your mutual fund buying or selling stocks too much?  LivemintA mutual fund scheme's turnover ratio tells you how frequently its fund manager buys and sells the underlying stocks. Typically, higher the turnover ratio, more ...
Gold, mutual funds, equity - where to invest in 2019?  Moneycontrol.comAs we enter 2019, the question on everyone's mind is: can we say goodbye to market volatility that 2018 unleashed upon us? The answer may not be that simple ...
Why stopping mutual fund SIPs when stock market falls can jeopardise your financial goals  Economic TimesFear has returned to Dalal Street. Caught in a perfect storm of weak macroeconomic numbers, the IL&FS crisis and fear of more defaults, equity markets have ...
Why stock market volatility is beneficial for mutual fund SIP investors  Economic TimesWhile investing through systematic investment plans, you make more money precisely because the markets are facing volatility.
When should you sell your mutual fund schemes? - Stocks and equity mutual funds are different  Economic TimesInvesting in an individual stock and equity mutual fund scheme is different. You must look at various parameters like key ratios while investing in a stock. Hence ...
Are mid and small-cap mutual funds holding too many illiquid stocks?  Economic TimesLiquidity has been scarce in Indian capital markets in recent weeks. Mutual funds have also not been spared the pain, with liquid and money market funds ...
Five stocks that mutual funds think can outperform  Economic TimesA volatile month gave fund managers a chance to cherry-pick stocks.
Is it a good time to invest in small-cap mutual fund schemes?  Economic TimesDespite the slide in the Nifty Smallcap100 index, fund houses seem to be placing faith in small-cap funds again. Should investors take the cue?
How stocks picked by mutual funds over 2014 to 2017 have performed  Economic TimesWhile the most wanted stocks of 2014 and 2015 have done well, the recent picks have disappointed.
Mutual fund lesson: What should you do in volatile markets?  Moneycontrol.comCost of investing in equities is that it is a volatile asset class- there will be times when your portfolio value will be lower than what you invested.
How your mutual funds played the balancing act during stocks crash  Economic TimesBy Bhavana Acharya The last three months has been a bumpy ride for largecap stocks. The year so far has been unkind to the midcap and smallcap set.
Why HDFC Bank stock is among the top picks of mutual funds  Business TodayPrivate sector lender HDFC Bank, the third-largest Indian firm by market capitalisation, is among the favourite stocks in the portfolios of mutual funds. Despite ...
Mutual fund holdings in IT stocks touch all-time high  Economic TimesMumbai: Fund managers are betting big on the IT sector, on the back of an improving global macro environment, depreciating rupee and rise in IT spends.
Mutual Funds For First Time Manage More Money In Stocks Than Insurers  BloombergQuintMutual funds for the first time manage more money in equities than insurers as the last stock rout erased the gap that started narrowing after demonetisation.
Does it make sense to invest in mutual funds when the markets are down?  Economic TimesI am looking to invest Rs 20,000 per month via SIP in mutual funds for an investment period of more than 20 years. The idea is to maximize wealth to use for my ...
Bleeding mutual funds: Should you go back to good old fixed deposits?  Moneycontrol.comAre you worried about the losses on your investments in mutual fund schemes? You are not alone. There are many investors who dumped their good old fixed ...
Investing in equity mutual funds versus investing in shares: Which is better?  Economic TimesThe final goal for all stock investors is the same: to get superior returns. However, in terms of what you do, there are two completely different routes.
Fund managers' bets: Top 10 large, mid and small-cap stocks that MFs bought in October  Moneycontrol.comMF industry assets grew to Rs 22.2 lakh crore on the back of improved inflows into equity-oriented and liquid funds.
Top 10 wealth creator mutual fund schemes of 2018  Moneycontrol.comThe IT sector has been riding on good earnings show by the IT giants in India. The depreciating rupee is in the last few years boosted the fortunes of the ...
Do not make these 7 mistakes while investing in mutual funds  Moneycontrol.comNever forget that you are investing because you have to achieve your financial goals. Investing without a goal is akin to travelling without a destination.
Top 10 mutual funds which can double your wealth in long term  The Financial ExpressMutual funds are one of the most popular and smart ways for investors to build wealth over the long term. One can also double one's money, if planned properly.
Mutual funds that destroyed most investor wealth in the September selloff  Economic TimesThe recent selloff in the stock market has raised fears of a rush for redemption in mutual funds.​
See how they play market crash! MFs sold other stocks to lap up these 21 in October mayhem  Economic TimesPopular beaten-down stocks attracted big money from institutional investors on Dalal Street in October, when the domestic equity market was facing severe ...
Picking the best mutual fund: Are past returns relevant after re-categorisation?  Moneycontrol.comWhile selecting a scheme for investment or while deciding whether to continue with a current investment, a fund's performance track record does play a critical ...
Top 10 large, mid and smallcap stocks which fund managers bought & sold in September  Moneycontrol.comFears of a liquidity crunch following the IL&FS crisis hit the mutual fund industry in September. Cash plans, or liquid funds, were the worst hit.
These 18 consistent mutual funds may help you to beat stock market volatility  Economic TimesMany equity mutual fund advisors abhor volatility in the stock market. They are always searching for ways to tackle this beast which gives them sleepless nights.
These 10 stocks make up over one-third of entire mutual fund portfolio in India; check full list  The Financial ExpressEven as Sensex and Nifty continue their strong rally driven by a cheer in blue chip stocks, just 10 top names make up a whopping 34% of the entire mutual fund ...
How do mutual funds help you to invest better?  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds can provide you products that can meet your financial goals with relatively lesser risk.
Why your mutual fund earned you less than Nifty in recent market rally  Economic TimesThe more the number of stocks in an index, the weaker is its performance.
Should you shift from large-cap mutual funds to index funds?  Economic TimesThe index fund category of mutual fund schemes is slowly gaining traction among investors. The fortunes of index funds are changing as not only are they being ...
Value focussed MF are cutting their exposure to Indian stocks. What about you?  Moneycontrol.comAs valuations climb, the funds have chosen to stay light on Indian stocks and exposure to bonds and arbitrage has gone up.
Some international funds are giving around 40% returns. Should you invest?  Economic TimesInternational mutual funds are topping the return charts. The category has returned around 20 per cent in one year. Should retail investors bet on these schemes ...
Planning an SIP in mutual funds? Keep these things in mind  Moneycontrol.comYou should identify a fund which has not only performed well when the markets are rising but also tackled the tides of a falling market and has controlled losses.
Here are top buys and sells by mutual funds in August when Sensex, Nifty hit record highs  Moneycontrol.comAmong largecaps, HDFC AMC, Sun TV Network, TVS Motor, Vedanta and Tech Mahindra topped the August buying list of top 10 mutual fund houses which ...
Fund managers' picks: Large, mid & smallcap stocks that MFs bought, sold in Dec  Moneycontrol.comMF assets declined to Rs 22.8 lakh crore in December 2018 from Rs 23.4 lakh core in Nov 2018 on the back of moderation in the flows in equity funds and ...
India is set for a good run in 2019, says Reliance Mutual Fund  Moneycontrol.comManish Gunwani, CIO-Equity at Reliance MF, the market is positioned well in terms of valuation and macros.
10 mutual fund options that could be good bets as markets trend higher  Moneycontrol.comInvestment advisors feel this is time for caution and that investors should veer more towards funds with exposure towards large-caps or those that are multi-cap ...
How much do mutual fund managers invest in their own schemes?  Moneycontrol.comEver since SEBI mandated mutual fund houses to disclose how much fund managers, directors of the asset management company and other key employees ...
Best large cap mutual funds to invest in 2019  Economic TimesHere's a monthly update on our recommended large cap mutual funds to invest in 2019. The good news is that there is no change in the recommendations.
How to build your mutual fund portfolio from scratch  Moneycontrol.comYou need to know that there is no such thing as a "perfect mutual fund portfolio". There can be numerous reasonably good portfolios, and there's no ...
FIIs, MFs bet on 138 stocks in last 1 year; should you buy?  Moneycontrol.comOut of the 138 stocks which witnessed increase in weightage on a year-on-year basis, as many as 14 stocks saw a correction of 20-80 percent in the last 1 year.
Top stocks bought and sold by mutual funds in June 2018  IndiainfolineInvestors should focus on longevity to create wealth. We advise investors to stay invested in those stocks whose growth story is still intact.
Choose your mobile app wisely to invest in direct mutual funds  Moneycontrol.comSome mobile apps are not updated on regular basis. Often there may be errors in the stocks portfolio of several schemes.
Best value-oriented equity mutual funds to invest in 2018  Economic TimesValue investing is an investment strategy that looks to buy stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value.
Why liquidity offered by mutual funds is good for you  Moneycontrol.comYou may come across emergencies which warrant sudden requirement of cash. In such a situation, mutual funds come in handy.
Best mutual funds to invest in India  Times of IndiaFAQs News: Market analyst says that it would be difficult for investors to get high returns in 2018 pointing to the volatility faced by the stock market. The inv.

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