Dispelling Illusions of the Stock Market

How can you dispel an illusion unless you look directly at it? The magician distracts the eye with one hand while he does his manipulation with the other. You are looking in the wrong place and not seeing what is actually happening.

Wall Street has mastered this move even beyond the wildest dreams of Houdini. Investors have become so mesmerized by the smoke and mirrors that they believe the large brokerage houses are telling them the truth.

One of their master distractions has you believing that research is necessary to be able to pick a winning stock or mutual fund. All research is facts and figures which is nothing more than disinformation. Think. That long report by some analyst came from sources available to anyone and everyone, therefore, it is worthless. If everyone knows it then all that information is already reflected in the current price of the stock.

Just because you have information and it seems so good that doesn't mean the equity price is going to go up. Those beautiful pink, green and yellow tout sheets sent to you by some broker have you looking in the wrong place just as the magician does while he is picking your pocket. Sound familiar?

The annual report is a beautiful document. Slick paper and in full color, but those footnotes are hard to read. You know the old saying: "they give it to you in the big type and take it away in the small type". More of the magician's tricks. Did it occur to you that much of the content of the annual report is a year old? Is that going to tell you if the stock is going to go up tomorrow or next week?

Another distraction by the master magician is the prospectus. I have written these so I know how they can be manipulated. The most important thing to remember is they were not written for the investor. They are written so some Dilbert lawyer in his cubicle at the SEC in Washington will see that it meets all the regulations. There is practically no difference in the content of a winner and a loser.

So much of what comes out of Wall Street is sleight of hand and smoke and mirrors. You must stop and ask yourself, "Is knowing this going to make me any money?" In all likelihood it won't. Almost every analyst recommendation put out by brokerage companies is already ancient history and of no value. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in Washington is now investigating allegations that analysts have become salesmen for their brokerage companies and are told not to issue negative reports on any company no matter how poorly they perform.

Become aware of the magician's tricks and watch out for that other hand he has in your pocket.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

[email protected]; 1-888-345-7870

In The News:

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Mutual fund investors keep faith in stocks despite market rout  LivemintMumbai: Investors in Indian equity mutual funds bought more last month, unfazed by the selloff that saw the nation's $1.9 trillion market log its worst July in 17 ...
How to prepare for a recession  CNBCAre you prepared if a recession hits? Whether or not one is on the horizon, you should take some steps ahead of time to recession-proof your life. “Now is the ...
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Retirement Planning That Protects Your $1 Million Savings  Investor's Business DailyYour retirement planning has paid off. You've saved $1 million. Now you're wondering how long $1 million will last in retirement.
Why picking the right mutual fund is key in a tough market  LivemintWhy have mutual fund (MF) returns fallen? Mutual funds primarily invest in equity (stocks) or debt (bonds). On the equity side, mid and small cap MFs have given ...
MF shopping list: Top 30 stocks that fund managers bought & sold in June  MoneycontrolMutual funds increased allocation to private banks, consumer, utilities, technology, NBFCs, retail, metals and PSU bank stocks in June, an ICICIdirect report said.
Top 10 stocks that mutual fund managers bought and sold in March 2019  Moneycontrol.comData for equity flows into mutual funds for March came as a breather after a weak February. An increase in net inflows in equity and income category led to the ...
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Is it time to switch to index mutual funds?  Economic TimesBy Rishabh Parakh It is one of the hottest topics debated these days: is it time for mutual fund investors to switch to passively-managed index funds from their ...
Mutual funds’ exposure to this space at all-time high; should you buy?  Economic TimesMoney managers on Dalal Street continued to shower affection on private banks for the ninth successive month as their exposure hit 19.90 per cent in June, ...
What India's three largest mutual funds bought and sold in June  LivemintInflows into Indian equity mutual funds jumped the most in three months in June.India's top money manager HDFC Mutual Fund held $22 billion in equities.
Mutual funds shooting themselves in the foot?  Economic TimesWhat if banks take a leaf out of Kotak and HDFC Mutual Funds' decision to direct investors to come another day to get their money instead of paying them on the ...
What India's top three mutual funds bought and sold in March  Economic TimesIndias largest money manager held 1.5 trillion rupees in equities.
Equity mutual funds are offering negative returns. What should investors do?  Economic TimesAll equity mutual fund categories have been offering negative average returns in the last one year. Small cap and mid cap schemes were hit the most, with ...
Sensex's rise from 20K to 40K: 5 lessons for equity mutual fund investors  Economic TimesWe look at some critical lessons that equity fund investors learnt during the journey of Sensex reaching 40K.
Yes, stocks are up again. No, recession worries aren't gone  GoDanRiver.comNEW YORK (AP) — The U.S. economy is sending some worrying signals about a possible recession, yet the stock market has gone on a what-me-worry ride ...
Here are a few mutual funds that stocked up on YES Bank in Q4FY19  Business StandardShares of YES Bank tanked 30 per cent in trade on Tuesday, after the bank reported a massive Rs 1,507 crore loss in the fourth quarter of financial year 2018-19 ...
Mutual fund investors showing great appetite for assuming risk: Dhirendra Kumar  Economic TimesOne would have thought that new investors who came into mutual funds will be running away. But they are getting into riskier category of funds and the scale of ...
Flows into mutual funds revive in May as Modi win seems to spur risk demand  LivemintFlows into Indian equity mutual funds in May rebounded from the smallest in 31 months as Prime Minister Narendra Modi's comfortable electoral win spurred ...
Value mutual funds have given good returns over long term but can underperform in short term  Economic TimesOver the years, the benefits of value investing have been espoused by several market gurus and fund managers. Discussions around this investing philosophy ...
Actively-managed large cap mutual funds poised for a comeback  Economic TimesDefying predictions of their imminent irrelevance, some actively-managed large cap mutual fund schemes have bounced back to the top of the return chart.
A Portfolio for All Seasons -  State College NewsYour investment portfolio should be prepared for all seasons. Different sectors of the market perform better than others at different times. Even though they ...
What India's top three mutual funds bought and sold in May  LivemintInflows into Indian equity mutual funds in May rebounded from the smallest in 31 months as Prime Minister Narendra Modi's comfortable electoral win spurred ...
Mutual fund SIPs don't make equity investing risk-free. Here's why  Economic TimesSIPs do reduce the risk of market timing & allow investors to buy more units when their price falls.
A young investor’s guide to mutual funds  Economic TimesMany young investors, who are barely a year or two old in their career, are eager to start investing in mutual funds. ETMutualFunds.com receive many queries on ...
How income from stocks and mutual funds are taxed for an individual  Moneycontrol.comCapital gains from transfer of unlisted share are considered as STCG where period of holding is less than or equal to 24 months, and LTCG when holding period ...
What top mutual funds bought and sold last month  LivemintMumbai: Inflows into Indian equity mutual funds in January were the smallest in two years as heightened market volatility and political uncertainty cooled ...
6 bad money habits that investors should give up  Economic TimesSome habits can exact a heavy toll on your finances. We look at a few common ones that you should give up.
Can mutual funds give multibagger returns like stocks?  Economic TimesStocks can be multibaggers. They can offer extraordinary returns in a very short period. Can mutual funds ever do that? This was a question thrown at Rajeev ...
Index mutual funds see 60% jump in assets in a year as actively managed funds struggle  Economic TimesIndex mutual funds — a category that aims to mimic returns of benchmarks, like Nifty or Sensex — have seen their assets surge 60% over the past one year as ...
How concentrated is your mutual fund portfolio?  LivemintA concentrated portfolio can backfire badly if the fund manager's strategy goes wrong.A portfolio with few stocks can fall sharply if share prices of most stocks in ...
Should investors with very long term horizon always pick small cap mutual funds?  Economic TimesMutual fund investors assume that their risk taking ability goes up if they have really long investment horizon.
These 24 mutual fund schemes have consistently given over 20 per cent returns  Economic TimesMutual fund managers and advisors always ask investors to choose schemes with a consistent performance record. The point is your scheme is supposed to ...
Stay away from stock tips  LivemintIf taming the stock market was easy, everyone would do it.Losing money in market is real and facing volatility is part of the deal.
Mutual funds bet big on these 30 stocks in November; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comThe Indian equity market rose about 5 percent in November but what was more heartening to see was inflows into mutual funds. Investors pumped Rs 1.4 lakh ...
Should you invest in algorithm-based quant mutual funds?  Economic TimesQuant funds work on a data-driven model that relies on a mix of parameters and algorithms to identify the right stocks at the right time. But can they beat actively ...
Stick to MFs if you lack knowledge on stocks  LivemintWhile equity is surely the way going forward considering your age and the financial goals, how you buy in equity is important.Direct stocks work very well if done ...

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