Evaluation I

An insane person cannot evaluate an insane evaluation system.

As you know I have been trying to restore sanity to the insane premises Wall Street has been teaching its brokers and you for all these years. Their insanity has become so pervasive that it has become conventional wisdom. The brokerage houses have taught everyone to act insanely and to think that what they are doing is sane.

Wall Street has taught you the insanity of doing research, dollar cost averaging and buying and holding. Anyone who can rub two braincells together can figure out that all these are lies. A book written 40 years ago by Nicholas Darvas called "How I Made $2,000,000 in the Stock Market" came to the same conclusions I have, namely, brokers don't know anything and research is worthless. He gives a good explanation as to why he came to those conclusions. You might still be able to get the book at the library as it is out of print.

Why is research worthless? There is one good source of information about almost any listed company as well as many unlisted companies from Morningstar. They are the nexus for stock market information. You can find out more things about a company than you will ever need to or want to know. You will be inundated with information, but there is one thing they do not know. Will the stock go up after you buy it? And that is the only thing that counts.

When you ask your broker about a stock he will go to the company file that has all the statistical information about almost any company. He thinks that stuff is good. If it is so good why doesn't he buy it? Because down deep he knows it is worthless, but he can't admit that to you or even to himself.

His company has taught that you must do research. In his defense he does not realize he has been a good student, but has had a bad teacher. You would think that after doing this nonsense all those years he would catch on, but he doesn't because everyone around believes it is true. He is in an insane asylum. Everyone looks normal.

You cannot evaluate an insane evaluation system with insane evaluation. Once you realize it is insane you must leave it. Don't argue with the insane person. Now you have shaken lose from that weird thinking you will be able to look back on it to wonder why it took you so long to come to your senses.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

[email protected]; 1-888-345-7870

In The News:

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Talking stock: CIL has upside, exit TaMo, add Tata Elxsi  Economic TimesHold GM Breweries with a target price of around Rs 600.
Tata Motors stock crash: Over 200 mutual fund schemes own equity worth Rs 4000 cr  Moneycontrol.comIn terms of value, more than Rs 4000 crore of mutual fund money is riding on Tata Motors, and approximately Rs 1700 crore in Tata Motors DVR.
Top fund houses are busy lapping up PSUs; what’s behind this new-found love  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: India's top three mutual funds, which manage over Rs 9 lakh crore in debt and equity assets, added a number of PSU stocks to their schemes in ...
Don't tie your career and savings to the same industry: Here's why  Economic TimesTying up your career and your savings to the well-being of the same company (or the same industry) is clearly a case of putting all your eggs in one basket.
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Closing Bell: Sensex ends 310 points lower, Nifty below 10,650; IT stocks under pressure  Moneycontrol.comThe Sensex was down 310.51 points at 35498.44, while Nifty was down 83.40 points at 10641.
FPIs go big on stocks of financials, mutual funds on energy and IT sectors  Business StandardForeign portfolio investors (FPIs) added positions in stocks of financials, and reduced their exposure to the energy sector, an analysis of December 2018 quarter ...
What top mutual funds bought and sold last month  LivemintMumbai: Inflows into Indian equity mutual funds in January were the smallest in two years as heightened market volatility and political uncertainty cooled ...
These stocks see mutual fund inflows for 8th straight quarter; are they worth a look?  Economic TimesAt least 20 listed stocks on the BSE have been major beneficiaries.
All eyes on Zee, Dish TV stock movement  Economic TimesThe prospect of a further plunge in the shares of Zee Entertainment and Dish TV, which would deepen the disarray in the Essel Group, has put their ...
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Top mutual funds still have Rs 8,650 crore exposure to DHFL & four group entities  Economic TimesAs skeletons tumble out one after another from the closets of highly leveraged companies, domestic mutual funds with exposure to such entities are finding ...
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UPDATE 1-U.S.-based emerging market stock funds attract most cash since Jan 2018 -Lipper  ReutersU.S. fund investors emboldened by cautious monetary policy are adding stakes in emerging-market stocks at the fastest pace in about a year, Lipper data ...
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7 stocks most favoured by mutual funds over last one year  Economic TimesAs the markets hit a speed bump, stocks favoured by mutual funds appear to be safer bets.
Stock Focus: Investors Keen on Shares of Compugen Ltd. (NASDAQ:CGEN) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Compugen Ltd. (NASDAQ:CGEN) as their share price hit $3.74 at the end of the most recent trading session.
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Market Watch: Investors Keen on People's United Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:PBCT) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over People's United Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:PBCT) as their share price hit $16.95 at the end of the most recent trading ...
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Stock News: Investors Keen on OFG Bancorp (NYSE:OFG) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over OFG Bancorp (NYSE:OFG) as their share price hit $20.06 at the end of the most recent trading session.
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Stock Update: Investors Taking a Second Look at PAR Technology Corporation (NYSE:PAR) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over PAR Technology Corporation (NYSE:PAR) as their share price hit $26.63 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trading Update: Investors Keen on NXP Semiconductors NV (NASDAQ:NXPI) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ:NXPI) as their share price hit $91.75 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock News: Investors Taking a Second Look at Despegar.com Corp. (:DESP) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Despegar.com Corp. (:DESP) as their share price hit $17.29 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trend Update: Investors Keen on OSI Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:OSIS) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over OSI Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:OSIS) as their share price hit $87.45 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Market Update: Investors Keen on HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE:HCI) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE:HCI) as their share price hit $47.17 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trend Review: Investors Focusing on Shares of Donegal Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DGICA) as Company Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Donegal Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DGICA) as their share price hit $13.1 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Check out what top five mutual funds bought & sold during October selloff  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Mutual funds stood resilient as industry's asset base increased to Rs 22.23 lakh crore in October in spite of a heavy correction in the domestic ...
Fund managers ready to go shopping after sharp correction in stocks  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds that were holding around 8-10 percent cash level in their equity portfolio are likely to purchase shares of companies in banking and financial ...
When should you sell your mutual fund schemes? - Stocks and equity mutual funds are different  Economic TimesInvesting in an individual stock and equity mutual fund scheme is different. You must look at various parameters like key ratios while investing in a stock. Hence ...
Mutual funds may need smart bets on smallcap stocks to beat ETF show  Economic TimesSmallcap stocks could see up to ₹1 lakh cr inflow as fund managers look for potential winners: Analysts.
Hot and Cold Stocks of Mutual Funds in November 2018  MoneylifeIn November 2018, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank were the most preferred stocks of Indian mutual funds.
Mutual funds' exposure to banks hits 3-month low of Rs 1.88 lakh crore in Sept  Economic TimesMutual funds' holding of banking stocks declined by over Rs 21,600 crore to Rs 1.88 lakh crore in September, driven by the correction in equity markets.
Shall I buy the HDFC AMC stock or mutual fund?  LivemintThe HDFC Asset Management Co. Ltd stock closed 65% up on the first day of listing over its IPO price of ₹ 1,100 per share. Investors who sold on day one, saw ...
Is your mutual fund buying or selling stocks too much?  LivemintA mutual fund scheme's turnover ratio tells you how frequently its fund manager buys and sells the underlying stocks. Typically, higher the turnover ratio, more ...
Gold, mutual funds, equity - where to invest in 2019?  Moneycontrol.comAs we enter 2019, the question on everyone's mind is: can we say goodbye to market volatility that 2018 unleashed upon us? The answer may not be that simple ...
Why stock market volatility is beneficial for mutual fund SIP investors  Economic TimesWhile investing through systematic investment plans, you make more money precisely because the markets are facing volatility.
Why stopping mutual fund SIPs when stock market falls can jeopardise your financial goals  Economic TimesFear has returned to Dalal Street. Caught in a perfect storm of weak macroeconomic numbers, the IL&FS crisis and fear of more defaults, equity markets have ...
Are mid and small-cap mutual funds holding too many illiquid stocks?  Economic TimesLiquidity has been scarce in Indian capital markets in recent weeks. Mutual funds have also not been spared the pain, with liquid and money market funds ...
Five stocks that mutual funds think can outperform  Economic TimesA volatile month gave fund managers a chance to cherry-pick stocks.
Is it a good time to invest in small-cap mutual fund schemes?  Economic TimesDespite the slide in the Nifty Smallcap100 index, fund houses seem to be placing faith in small-cap funds again. Should investors take the cue?
Mutual fund lesson: What should you do in volatile markets?  Moneycontrol.comCost of investing in equities is that it is a volatile asset class- there will be times when your portfolio value will be lower than what you invested.
How stocks picked by mutual funds over 2014 to 2017 have performed  Economic TimesWhile the most wanted stocks of 2014 and 2015 have done well, the recent picks have disappointed.
How your mutual funds played the balancing act during stocks crash  Economic TimesBy Bhavana Acharya The last three months has been a bumpy ride for largecap stocks. The year so far has been unkind to the midcap and smallcap set.
Why HDFC Bank stock is among the top picks of mutual funds  Business TodayPrivate sector lender HDFC Bank, the third-largest Indian firm by market capitalisation, is among the favourite stocks in the portfolios of mutual funds. Despite ...
Mutual fund holdings in IT stocks touch all-time high  Economic TimesMumbai: Fund managers are betting big on the IT sector, on the back of an improving global macro environment, depreciating rupee and rise in IT spends.
Fund managers' picks: Large, mid & smallcap stocks that MFs bought, sold in Dec  Moneycontrol.comMF assets declined to Rs 22.8 lakh crore in December 2018 from Rs 23.4 lakh core in Nov 2018 on the back of moderation in the flows in equity funds and ...
Bleeding mutual funds: Should you go back to good old fixed deposits?  Moneycontrol.comAre you worried about the losses on your investments in mutual fund schemes? You are not alone. There are many investors who dumped their good old fixed ...
Mutual Funds For First Time Manage More Money In Stocks Than Insurers  BloombergQuintMutual funds for the first time manage more money in equities than insurers as the last stock rout erased the gap that started narrowing after demonetisation.
Mutual funds that destroyed most investor wealth in the September selloff  Economic TimesThe recent selloff in the stock market has raised fears of a rush for redemption in mutual funds.​
Does it make sense to invest in mutual funds when the markets are down?  Economic TimesI am looking to invest Rs 20,000 per month via SIP in mutual funds for an investment period of more than 20 years. The idea is to maximize wealth to use for my ...
Investing in equity mutual funds versus investing in shares: Which is better?  Economic TimesThe final goal for all stock investors is the same: to get superior returns. However, in terms of what you do, there are two completely different routes.
Fund managers' bets: Top 10 large, mid and small-cap stocks that MFs bought in October  Moneycontrol.comMF industry assets grew to Rs 22.2 lakh crore on the back of improved inflows into equity-oriented and liquid funds.
Top 10 wealth creator mutual fund schemes of 2018  Moneycontrol.comThe IT sector has been riding on good earnings show by the IT giants in India. The depreciating rupee is in the last few years boosted the fortunes of the ...
Picking the best mutual fund: Are past returns relevant after re-categorisation?  Moneycontrol.comWhile selecting a scheme for investment or while deciding whether to continue with a current investment, a fund's performance track record does play a critical ...
Do not make these 7 mistakes while investing in mutual funds  Moneycontrol.comNever forget that you are investing because you have to achieve your financial goals. Investing without a goal is akin to travelling without a destination.
Top 10 mutual funds which can double your wealth in long term  The Financial ExpressMutual funds are one of the most popular and smart ways for investors to build wealth over the long term. One can also double one's money, if planned properly.
Trading Review: Investors Keen on NEXTGEN HEALTHCARE, INC (:NXGN) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over NEXTGEN HEALTHCARE, INC (:NXGN) as their share price hit $18.49 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Why your mutual fund earned you less than Nifty in recent market rally  Economic TimesThe more the number of stocks in an index, the weaker is its performance.
See how they play market crash! MFs sold other stocks to lap up these 21 in October mayhem  Economic TimesPopular beaten-down stocks attracted big money from institutional investors on Dalal Street in October, when the domestic equity market was facing severe ...
Top 10 large, mid and smallcap stocks which fund managers bought & sold in September  Moneycontrol.comFears of a liquidity crunch following the IL&FS crisis hit the mutual fund industry in September. Cash plans, or liquid funds, were the worst hit.
These 10 stocks make up over one-third of entire mutual fund portfolio in India; check full list  The Financial ExpressEven as Sensex and Nifty continue their strong rally driven by a cheer in blue chip stocks, just 10 top names make up a whopping 34% of the entire mutual fund ...
These 18 consistent mutual funds may help you to beat stock market volatility  Economic TimesMany equity mutual fund advisors abhor volatility in the stock market. They are always searching for ways to tackle this beast which gives them sleepless nights.
How do mutual funds help you to invest better?  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds can provide you products that can meet your financial goals with relatively lesser risk.
HDFC AMC's Stellar Listing | Should you invest in the stock or its funds?  Moneycontrol.comHDFC AMC made a bumper debut at the stock markets last week making its investors richer by over 65% on day one.
Here are top buys and sells by mutual funds in August when Sensex, Nifty hit record highs  Moneycontrol.comAmong largecaps, HDFC AMC, Sun TV Network, TVS Motor, Vedanta and Tech Mahindra topped the August buying list of top 10 mutual fund houses which ...
Value focussed MF are cutting their exposure to Indian stocks. What about you?  Moneycontrol.comAs valuations climb, the funds have chosen to stay light on Indian stocks and exposure to bonds and arbitrage has gone up.
Should you shift from large-cap mutual funds to index funds?  Economic TimesThe index fund category of mutual fund schemes is slowly gaining traction among investors. The fortunes of index funds are changing as not only are they being ...
India is set for a good run in 2019, says Reliance Mutual Fund  Moneycontrol.comManish Gunwani, CIO-Equity at Reliance MF, the market is positioned well in terms of valuation and macros.
Some international funds are giving around 40% returns. Should you invest?  Economic TimesInternational mutual funds are topping the return charts. The category has returned around 20 per cent in one year. Should retail investors bet on these schemes ...
How much do mutual fund managers invest in their own schemes?  Moneycontrol.comEver since SEBI mandated mutual fund houses to disclose how much fund managers, directors of the asset management company and other key employees ...
Planning an SIP in mutual funds? Keep these things in mind  Moneycontrol.comYou should identify a fund which has not only performed well when the markets are rising but also tackled the tides of a falling market and has controlled losses.
10 mutual fund options that could be good bets as markets trend higher  Moneycontrol.comInvestment advisors feel this is time for caution and that investors should veer more towards funds with exposure towards large-caps or those that are multi-cap ...
How to build your mutual fund portfolio from scratch  Moneycontrol.comYou need to know that there is no such thing as a "perfect mutual fund portfolio". There can be numerous reasonably good portfolios, and there's no ...
Choose your mobile app wisely to invest in direct mutual funds  Moneycontrol.comSome mobile apps are not updated on regular basis. Often there may be errors in the stocks portfolio of several schemes.

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