Prosperity

It has fallen upon the consumer to make our economy strong. All the politicians, economists and talking heads on TV are telling him (that's you and me) to get out there and spend your money. Buy that new car, build a new house and fly off to some remote place for an expensive vacation.

Where did the idea that consumer borrowing is a recipe for prosperity? As I recall when I was a kid my Dad told me to work hard, save my money and invest wisely. That still seems like a good idea. Where have I gone wrong to want to live within my means and save some of what I earn?

Corporations have also taken on huge amounts of debt. Many businesses were happy with a net, net profit of 5% to 10% yet today the real cost of company debt is running about 10% which doesn't leave much for the bottom line. Fewer and fewer companies are paying dividends because they don't have enough money left over for their investors. Now many have such poor cash flow that they do not have the cash for new equipment and the banks are not in a lending mood. Profit margins are at their lowest in the past 50 years. The talking heads on CNBC-TV mention capital appreciation as the way to make your profit. Pick a good stock and watch it go up.

We have had an 18-year bull market that ended in 2000. All you needed was a dartboard to be able to choose a stock that was going up. Everyone was weaned away from dividends. As long as it was going up who cares if you get a little check at the end of the year? Here is an interesting statistic that may shock you as it did me. From 1871 to 1997, 126 years, common stocks went up about 7% per year, BUT only 1.6% of the increase was due to price appreciation. The balance of 5.4% came from dividends. And today, for all practical purposes, there aren't any.

No one, including Mr. Greenspan, is encouraging you to save money. Why? Because for every one percent increase in the national savings rate it stops the spending of $75 billion (yes, that's a B). That would slow the economic recovery and our Washington politicians don't want that. Debt has become the "in" thing. People brag about how much they owe.

If you want prosperity now and when you retire you must create it for yourself. Don't figure that Uncle Sam is going to maintain your current life style after you quit working.

Saving money, paying your bills and smart investing have not gone out of style.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

In The News:

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KSTP

Bring me the bleach: Investors seek stability as stocks fall
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USA TODAY

As stocks skid, worries mount for 401(k) investors who can't 'stand the pain'
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Money starts to move out of stocks: While investors haven't exited the stock market in a stampede, more money has come out of U.S. stock mutual funds and exchange traded funds than has flowed in, Investment Company Institute data show. In the three ...

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Morningstar Reports US Mutual Fund and ETF Asset Flows for October 2018
Markets Insider
20, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Morningstar, Inc. (Nasdaq: MORN), a leading provider of independent investment research, today reported estimated U.S. mutual fund and exchange-traded fund (ETF) asset flows for October 2018. In October, investors placed $20.4 ...

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These people have been buying up stocks faster than anyone since 1989
MarketWatch
One of the easiest and smartest ways to get started is with a mutual fund that contains a basket of investments instead of a single stock. If you have a workplace retirement plan, mutual funds are going to be the main item offered on the investment menu.


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When Growth Stocks Do This, These Silver Linings Appear
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After Sour October, Fund Managers Gird For More Volatility, Trim Stocks
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