Fools Gold

The stock market has been in an up trend for more than a year. Almost everyone is feeling good and many believe we are back in the old bull market with the previous high of the Dow Jones Industrial Average just about to be broken.

This could be the case, but what if what we are seeing is all glitter and only has sparkle with no value whatsoever. Any one who tells you he knows is either a liar or a fool. Only the market itself will tell what it is doing and very few take the time to learn its language.

The most important thing about the stock market is the major trend. For the past year it has been up and during that time you should have owned equities ? stocks and mutual funds. Some time in the future it will turn down again (it always does despite what you broker says) and that is when you should sell your equities and keep your money in a money market account. You won't be making much, but it takes a lot more effort to make money than it does to keep from losing it.

Brokers will tell you there is no way you can determine the direction of the market. They are either lying or stupid. It is not that obscure. To mine for gold in the stock market I recommend you look at the Investors Business Daily Mutual Fund Index. Notice that the Index price is currently above the 200-day Moving Average. That penetration occurred in April 2003 and had stayed that way until May of 2004 when it broke down.

When that happened you sold everything and went to cash. It went back up through that 200 line shortly after so you should have bought back into equities. Now you are fully invested again maybe in other equities that are performing better than those you had before. Is this a new gold mine or fool's gold? You don't know yet, but you will learn that the trend is your friend.

If you did sell out your previous stocks or mutual funds you should have looked to see where you want to buy again. There is something called sector rotation that will definitely increase the return on your money. At times the technical stocks and funds do better than the real estate group or the banking group. You should be where the strongest funds are and these you can find with a search on the Internet.

Don't be a fool and try to ride out a weak stock or group. Just a few years ago AT&T was $100 per share. Today it is $15. So much for the widows and orphans; they have lost their gold.

What might seem to be a sure thing can turn into a financial disaster - a fool and his gold will soon be parted. Never take a big loss. Listen to the market and learn to stay with the trend.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

In The News:

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Quant-based mutual fund schemes are coming. Should you invest?  Economic TimesMany mutual fund advisors believe quant-based mutual funds are the future of the Indian mutual fund industry.
Have MF-corporate debt pacts left debt fund investors exposed?  Economic TimesCorporate bonds aggregate Rs 36.27 lakh crore, or about 28% of the total bond market.
Govt increases limit to disclose investment in stocks, mutual funds for employees  Moneycontrol.com*Service* rules say no government servant shall speculate in any stock, share or other investment.
Mutual fund houses push sell button on auto and construction sectors  BusinessLineBut stock up on IT scrips amid redemption pressure.
Quantum Mutual Fund uses cash pile to buy stocks cheap  Economic TimesQuantum Long Term Equity Value Fund, where value investing is the pronounced fund allocation theme, has brought down the level of cash at its plan to the ...
Testing times for investors? CPSE, Bharat 22 ETF yield EPFO 1.89% & 0.48% as of Dec-end  Moneycontrol.comEPFO had in January 2017 decided to invest in select exchange traded funds (ETFs) to help the government achieve its disinvestment target.
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Tata Motors stock crash: Over 200 mutual fund schemes own equity worth Rs 4000 cr  Moneycontrol.comIn terms of value, more than Rs 4000 crore of mutual fund money is riding on Tata Motors, and approximately Rs 1700 crore in Tata Motors DVR.
Top fund houses are busy lapping up PSUs; what’s behind this new-found love  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: India's top three mutual funds, which manage over Rs 9 lakh crore in debt and equity assets, added a number of PSU stocks to their schemes in ...
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Quick Take | Covered calls for mutual funds will help stabilise NAV fluctuations  Moneycontrol.comAllowing mutual funds to participate in the options market will bring more liquidity to stock options and stabilise returns for the fund.
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What top mutual funds bought and sold last month  LivemintMumbai: Inflows into Indian equity mutual funds in January were the smallest in two years as heightened market volatility and political uncertainty cooled ...
Mutual funds raise stake in equities to highest-ever level; prefer financials, consumer stocks  Moneycontrol.comDomestic mutual funds (DMFs), the largest buyers of Indian stocks during the quarter, also added the most positions in ICICI Bank and Axis Bank, and reduced ...
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All eyes on Zee, Dish TV stock movement  Economic TimesThe prospect of a further plunge in the shares of Zee Entertainment and Dish TV, which would deepen the disarray in the Essel Group, has put their ...
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Is Vanguard US Growth Investor (VWUSX) a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now?  Yahoo FinanceLarge Cap Growth fund seekers should consider taking a look at Vanguard US Growth Investor (VWUSX). VWUSX possesses a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank of 1 ...
Sebi issues new format for mutual funds' monthly report  Economic TimesFrom April 2019 onwards, AMCs will have to submit the MCR to Sebi in the new format by the third working day of each month.
Fund managers raised stake in 194 stocks in Dec quarter. Is it a good idea to follow them?  Moneycontrol.comif good or quality stocks are getting hampered with external factors, investors should use the dips to buy into stocks which they think hold long term growth ...
Mutual funds and FIIs suffer big losses in Zee, Vedanta, DHFL stocks  Business StandardMutual funds (MFs) and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have seen sharp erosion in the value of their investments as allegations of corporate governance ...
Stock Market Budget 2019 Expectations: DDT relief, mutual fund benefits, tax slab changes on anvil  The Financial ExpressShare Market Expectations from Budget 2019: With interim Budget 2019 just a day away, expectations from stock market experts include STT relief, income tax ...
Trade Setup for Wednesday: Top 15 things to know before Opening Bell  Moneycontrol.comShabbir Kayyumi of Narnolia Financial Advisors said Nifty trading below crucial support (10602) will push prices towards 50 percent Fibonacci retracement ...
Here are the top 3 sectors mutual funds were betting on in December  Moneycontrol.comThe funds deployed 21.85 percent of their equity assets under management (AUM) into the banking sector.
3 California Muni Bond Mutual Funds Worth Considering  Zacks.comBelow we share with you four top-rated California muni bond mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
The Mutual Fund Show: You Can Invest In Mutual Funds At Last Minute And Save Tax  BloombergQuintMany people seek last-minute investment options to save tax as the financial year draws to a close. And it's usually done in haste, with little thought given to its ...
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How Big a Problem Is It That a Few Shareholders Own Stock in So Many Competing Companies?  HBR.org DailyMany critics claim that anti-trust enforcement has dangerously weakened since the 1980s, often citing the dominance of the tech giants as evidence of this.
We have taken bets off politically sensitive sectors, bullish on 3 themes: S Krishna Kumar, Sundaram MF  Economic TimesAs we head into elections, people want to remain a lot more liquid and are moving more into largecap names as it provides them the opportunity to move as and ...
Five reasons emerging-markets stocks could outperform U.S. stocks for several years  MarketWatchEmerging-markets stocks have been in the doldrums, but that may be about to change.
The Mutual Fund Show: Crisil’s Latest Ranking May Help Investors Choose The Right Fund  BloombergQuintBased on the performance of mutual fund schemes, Crisil ranked 474 funds. Bhushan Kedar, director (funds and fixed income) at Crisil, explains how the rating ...
NSE to launch new trading platform for mutual funds  The Nation NewspaperAuthorities at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) will this weekend launch a new trading platform for collective investment schemes (CIS), otherwise known.
3 Best Dimensional Mutual Funds For Sturdy Returns  Yahoo FinanceBelow we share with you three top-ranked Dimensional Fund Advisor mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank 1 (Strong Buy).
Target-date funds are hazardous to your wealth, experts say  MarketWatchYou can get a better lifetime return with a much simpler strategy.
Even the best stock-market investors fail when it’s time to sell  MarketWatchMutual-fund managers would do better selling a stock at random.
7 Great High-Yield Dividend Stocks That Nobody Talks About  Kiplinger's Personal FinanceIf you're seeking out high-yield dividend stocks, think small. These lesser-known names can be a little more volatile but make up for it with substantial income of ...
Promoter share pledges: Are all these 2,942 stocks untouchable?  Economic TimesInvestors have become suspicious of every company, where promoter share pledge is high.
UPDATE 1-U.S.-based emerging market stock funds attract most cash since Jan 2018 -Lipper  ReutersU.S. fund investors emboldened by cautious monetary policy are adding stakes in emerging-market stocks at the fastest pace in about a year, Lipper data ...
Our Ultimate Stock-Pickers' Top 10 High-Conviction and New-Money Purchases  Morningstar.comThe financial services and technology sectors each contributed three names to the high-conviction purchases list, and industrials contributed four to the ...
179 stocks turned multibaggers since Budget 2014; here's what to expect from Budget 2019  Moneycontrol.comThe agriculture theme is likely to hog the limelight in 2019 as well, suggest experts. The focus will continue to be on boosting the rural economy, employment ...
Stock Review: Investors Keen on Shares of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (NYSE:CPK) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (NYSE:CPK) as their share price hit $89.35 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Stock Update: Investors Taking a Second Look at Dean Foods Company (NYSE:DF) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Dean Foods Company (NYSE:DF) as their share price hit $4.79 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock Focus: Investors Keen on Atento SA (NYSE:ATTO) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Atento S.A. (NYSE:ATTO) as their share price hit $4.06 at the end of the most recent trading session. Market capitalization ...
7 stocks most favoured by mutual funds over last one year  Economic TimesAs the markets hit a speed bump, stocks favoured by mutual funds appear to be safer bets.
Taking stock: Know how your mutual funds fared  Moneycontrol.comEnd of the year is a good time to sit back and take stock of how your investments have done in the year gone by. It's common knowledge that many investors ...
Investors Will Be Taking a Second Look at Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) as their share price hit $5.55 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Mutual funds bet big on these 30 stocks in November; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comMF industry assets grew to Rs 23.4 lakh crore, on the back of improved inflows into liquid funds and steady equity markets.
Why Marco Rubio's Buyback Tax Makes No Sense  The Motley FoolThere's been a furor recently over companies taking their spare cash and using it to buy back shares of their stock. Many politicians on both sides of the aisle see ...
Defense Stocks To Watch: After 205% Run, Heico May Take Off Again  Investor's Business DailyHeico, which makes components for the defense, aerospace and medical industries, is among the top defense stocks as it sets up a potential new breakout.
Check out what top five mutual funds bought & sold during October selloff  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Mutual funds stood resilient as industry's asset base increased to Rs 22.23 lakh crore in October in spite of a heavy correction in the domestic ...
Fund managers ready to go shopping after sharp correction in stocks  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds that were holding around 8-10 percent cash level in their equity portfolio are likely to purchase shares of companies in banking and financial ...
When should you sell your mutual fund schemes? - Stocks and equity mutual funds are different  Economic TimesInvesting in an individual stock and equity mutual fund scheme is different. You must look at various parameters like key ratios while investing in a stock. Hence ...
Mutual funds may need smart bets on smallcap stocks to beat ETF show  Economic TimesSmallcap stocks could see up to ₹1 lakh cr inflow as fund managers look for potential winners: Analysts.
Hot and Cold Stocks of Mutual Funds in October 2018  MoneylifeIn October 2018, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank were the most preferred stocks of Indian mutual funds. The net purchases of Axis Bank were Rs1,504 crore, of which ...
Mutual funds' exposure to banks hits 3-month low of Rs 1.88 lakh crore in Sept  Economic TimesMutual funds' holding of banking stocks declined by over Rs 21,600 crore to Rs 1.88 lakh crore in September, driven by the correction in equity markets.
Shall I buy the HDFC AMC stock or mutual fund?  LivemintThe HDFC Asset Management Co. Ltd stock closed 65% up on the first day of listing over its IPO price of ₹ 1,100 per share. Investors who sold on day one, saw ...
Is your mutual fund buying or selling stocks too much?  LivemintA mutual fund scheme's turnover ratio tells you how frequently its fund manager buys and sells the underlying stocks. Typically, higher the turnover ratio, more ...
Gold, mutual funds, equity - where to invest in 2019?  Moneycontrol.comAs we enter 2019, the question on everyone's mind is: can we say goodbye to market volatility that 2018 unleashed upon us? The answer may not be that simple ...
New stock ideas boost equity mutual fund portfolios  LivemintIt is imperative for mutual fund houses to beef up their research capabilities, to be able to identify more winning new ideas.
Why stock market volatility is beneficial for mutual fund SIP investors  Economic TimesWhile investing through systematic investment plans, you make more money precisely because the markets are facing volatility.
Why stopping mutual fund SIPs when stock market falls can jeopardise your financial goals  Economic TimesFear has returned to Dalal Street. Caught in a perfect storm of weak macroeconomic numbers, the IL&FS crisis and fear of more defaults, equity markets have ...
Are mid and small-cap mutual funds holding too many illiquid stocks?  Economic TimesLiquidity has been scarce in Indian capital markets in recent weeks. Mutual funds have also not been spared the pain, with liquid and money market funds ...
Five stocks that mutual funds think can outperform  Economic TimesA volatile month gave fund managers a chance to cherry-pick stocks.
How stocks picked by mutual funds over 2014 to 2017 have performed  Economic TimesWhile the most wanted stocks of 2014 and 2015 have done well, the recent picks have disappointed.
Is it a good time to invest in small-cap mutual fund schemes?  Economic TimesDespite the slide in the Nifty Smallcap100 index, fund houses seem to be placing faith in small-cap funds again. Should investors take the cue?
Mutual fund holdings in IT stocks touch all-time high  Economic TimesMumbai: Fund managers are betting big on the IT sector, on the back of an improving global macro environment, depreciating rupee and rise in IT spends.
Why HDFC Bank stock is among the top picks of mutual funds  Business TodayPrivate sector lender HDFC Bank, the third-largest Indian firm by market capitalisation, is among the favourite stocks in the portfolios of mutual funds. Despite ...
How your mutual funds played the balancing act during stocks crash  Economic TimesBy Bhavana Acharya The last three months has been a bumpy ride for largecap stocks. The year so far has been unkind to the midcap and smallcap set.
Fund managers' picks: Large, mid & smallcap stocks that MFs bought, sold in Dec  Moneycontrol.comMF assets declined to Rs 22.8 lakh crore in December 2018 from Rs 23.4 lakh core in Nov 2018 on the back of moderation in the flows in equity funds and ...
Bleeding mutual funds: Should you go back to good old fixed deposits?  Moneycontrol.comAre you worried about the losses on your investments in mutual fund schemes? You are not alone. There are many investors who dumped their good old fixed ...
Mutual Funds For First Time Manage More Money In Stocks Than Insurers  BloombergQuintMutual funds for the first time manage more money in equities than insurers as the last stock rout erased the gap that started narrowing after demonetisation.
Does it make sense to invest in mutual funds when the markets are down?  Economic TimesI am looking to invest Rs 20,000 per month via SIP in mutual funds for an investment period of more than 20 years. The idea is to maximize wealth to use for my ...
Mutual funds that destroyed most investor wealth in the September selloff  Economic TimesThe recent selloff in the stock market has raised fears of a rush for redemption in mutual funds.​
Investing in equity mutual funds versus investing in shares: Which is better?  Economic TimesThe final goal for all stock investors is the same: to get superior returns. However, in terms of what you do, there are two completely different routes.
Picking the best mutual fund: Are past returns relevant after re-categorisation?  Moneycontrol.comWhile selecting a scheme for investment or while deciding whether to continue with a current investment, a fund's performance track record does play a critical ...
Do not make these 7 mistakes while investing in mutual funds  Moneycontrol.comNever forget that you are investing because you have to achieve your financial goals. Investing without a goal is akin to travelling without a destination.
Top 10 mutual funds which can double your wealth in long term  The Financial ExpressMutual funds are one of the most popular and smart ways for investors to build wealth over the long term. One can also double one's money, if planned properly.
Why your mutual fund earned you less than Nifty in recent market rally  Economic TimesThe more the number of stocks in an index, the weaker is its performance.
See how they play market crash! MFs sold other stocks to lap up these 21 in October mayhem  Economic TimesPopular beaten-down stocks attracted big money from institutional investors on Dalal Street in October, when the domestic equity market was facing severe ...
Fund managers' bets: Top 10 large, mid and small-cap stocks that MFs bought in October  Moneycontrol.comMF industry assets grew to Rs 22.2 lakh crore on the back of improved inflows into equity-oriented and liquid funds.
These 10 stocks make up over one-third of entire mutual fund portfolio in India; check full list  The Financial ExpressEven as Sensex and Nifty continue their strong rally driven by a cheer in blue chip stocks, just 10 top names make up a whopping 34% of the entire mutual fund ...
How do mutual funds help you to invest better?  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds can provide you products that can meet your financial goals with relatively lesser risk.

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