Roller Coaster

I love roller coasters. The steeper the better. High and fast and curvy. Yahoo! Let's go again. But to get to the drop off point you have a slow grind up.

Kinda reminds me of the stock market for the past 3 years. From 1982 to 2000 it was 18 years of up, up and away with very little down. From 2000 it was over the edge, down, down, down with few hints that we are going up. Recently, since October, there has been a respite and we have seen an advance of about 25%. Can we get back to the top? Gosh I hope so, but I have to remember this is a roller coast and it goes back to where it started. Oh, NO! That is OK for amusement rides, but in the stock market that is not amusing.

In the roller coaster I expect to be let off where I got on, but in the stock market I want to stay up near the top because if I don't I will lose my money and that is no fun at all. Is there any way I can protect my money when I am near the top and not give it back to go to the bottom where I have to start all over again?

The first thing you need to know is whether the stock market is going up or down. Despite what Wall Street tells you this is relatively easy to do. I know because I have been doing it for years. Here is one simple way and won't require any work on your part. In the Investor's Business Daily newspaper there is a Mutual Fund Index. When the price of the index is above the 200-day moving average the market is going up and you will want to be a buyer of stocks and mutual funds. What you buy is up to you. When the price of the index is below the 200-day line you should sell out of everything and be in cash, money market account or bonds. That simple. Anyone can do it.

One of the big Wall Street lies is that you cannot time the market. Wrong. If you don't believe it you can prove it to yourself by doing a historical study of what I have just said. Buy as many shares of the S&P500 Index as you can with $10,000 starting back in 1998 and sell the shares each time you have a penetration of the IBD Index. Buy and sell going back as many years as you like. Now compare the amount you have using this method with that same amount if you had just bought it and held it continuously.

I won't tell you, but you will be in for a shock. Buy and hold will show a loss while getting off the down roller coaster each time weakness occurred you would have protected your investments.

Roller coasters can be fun, but not in the stock market.

Al Thomas

Author of "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!"

Never lose money in the stock market again.

http://www.mutualfundmagic.com

In The News:

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Here's a list of top stocks bought and sold by mutual funds in February  CNBCTV18Indian shares were flat—down 0.4 percent—for the third consecutive month in February 2019, as the street exercised caution amid a flurry of unsupportive ...
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27-year-old rule changed: Disclosure limit on MF, stock investment up for bureaucrats  Economic TimesGroup A and B officials had to intimate government if total transaction in shares or MFs exceeded Rs 50K.
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The dangers of high mutual fund inflows  LivemintMutual funds have put ₹2.4 trillion into markets in the last two years.Equity mutual funds receive ₹8000 crore monthly through SIPs.
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Stock in Focus: Investors Taking a Second Look at The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL)  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) as their share price hit $94.59 at the end of the most recent trading session.
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New stock ideas boost equity mutual fund portfolios  LivemintIt is imperative for mutual fund houses to beef up their research capabilities, to be able to identify more winning new ideas.
Why stock market volatility is beneficial for mutual fund SIP investors  Economic TimesWhile investing through systematic investment plans, you make more money precisely because the markets are facing volatility.
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Mutual fund investing for the conservative: Should you stick to largecap funds only?  Moneycontrol.comFinancial planners advocate investing in equity mutual funds to beat inflation and build a corpus that will cater to one's future needs, even if one is a conservative ...
Stock in the News: Investors Taking a Second Look at The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN)  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) as their share price hit $22.71 at the end of the most recent trading ...
What India's top three MFs bought and sold in January  Economic TimesStock funds took in a net Rs 6160 crore, the least since January 2017.
Is your mutual fund buying or selling stocks too much?  LivemintA mutual fund scheme's turnover ratio tells you how frequently its fund manager buys and sells the underlying stocks. Typically, higher the turnover ratio, more ...
Hot and Cold Stocks of Mutual Funds in November 2018  MoneylifeIn November 2018, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank were the most preferred stocks of Indian mutual funds.
How your mutual funds played the balancing act during stocks crash  Economic TimesBy Bhavana Acharya The last three months has been a bumpy ride for largecap stocks. The year so far has been unkind to the midcap and smallcap set.
Sebi issues new format for mutual funds' monthly report  Economic TimesFrom April 2019 onwards, AMCs will have to submit the MCR to Sebi in the new format by the third working day of each month.
Quantum Mutual Fund uses cash pile to buy stocks cheap  Economic TimesQuantum Long Term Equity Value Fund, where value investing is the pronounced fund allocation theme, has brought down the level of cash at its plan to the ...
Top fund houses are busy lapping up PSUs; what’s behind this new-found love  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: India's top three mutual funds, which manage over Rs 9 lakh crore in debt and equity assets, added a number of PSU stocks to their schemes in ...
Should you shift from large-cap mutual funds to index funds?  Economic TimesThe index fund category of mutual fund schemes is slowly gaining traction among investors. The fortunes of index funds are changing as not only are they being ...
Fund managers raised stake in 194 stocks in Dec quarter. Is it a good idea to follow them?  Moneycontrol.comif good or quality stocks are getting hampered with external factors, investors should use the dips to buy into stocks which they think hold long term growth ...
Stock Review: Investors Keen on Flowserve Corporation (NYSE:FLS) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Flowserve Corporation (NYSE:FLS) as their share price hit $45.16 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Mutual funds that destroyed most investor wealth in the September selloff  Economic TimesThe recent selloff in the stock market has raised fears of a rush for redemption in mutual funds.​
Are mid and small-cap mutual funds holding too many illiquid stocks?  Economic TimesLiquidity has been scarce in Indian capital markets in recent weeks. Mutual funds have also not been spared the pain, with liquid and money market funds ...
Tata Motors stock crash: Over 200 mutual fund schemes own equity worth Rs 4,000 cr  Moneycontrol.comIn terms of value, more than Rs 4000 crore of mutual fund money is riding on Tata Motors, and approximately Rs 1700 crore in Tata Motors DVR.
Fund managers' picks: Large, mid & smallcap stocks that MFs bought, sold in Dec  Moneycontrol.comMF assets declined to Rs 22.8 lakh crore in December 2018 from Rs 23.4 lakh core in Nov 2018 on the back of moderation in the flows in equity funds and ...
Mutual fund lesson: What should you do in volatile markets?  Moneycontrol.comCost of investing in equities is that it is a volatile asset class- there will be times when your portfolio value will be lower than what you invested.
How do mutual funds help you to invest better?  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds can provide you products that can meet your financial goals with relatively lesser risk.
Is it time to invest in mid cap and small cap mutual fund schemes?  Economic TimesMany market pundits believe this is the right time to enter in small cap and mid cap segments.
Best value-oriented equity mutual funds to invest in 2019  Economic TimesValue investing is an investment strategy that looks to buy stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value.
Picking the best mutual fund: Are past returns relevant after re-categorisation?  Moneycontrol.comWhile selecting a scheme for investment or while deciding whether to continue with a current investment, a fund's performance track record does play a critical ...
Bleeding mutual funds: Should you go back to good old fixed deposits?  Moneycontrol.comAre you worried about the losses on your investments in mutual fund schemes? You are not alone. There are many investors who dumped their good old fixed ...
Mutual fund holdings in IT stocks touch all-time high  Economic TimesMumbai: Fund managers are betting big on the IT sector, on the back of an improving global macro environment, depreciating rupee and rise in IT spends.
These stocks see mutual fund inflows for 8th straight quarter; are they worth a look?  Economic TimesAt least 20 listed stocks on the BSE have been major beneficiaries.

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