Who Knows?

The Shadow knows. Remember him? It seems a shadow has a firm grip on this stock market. Since the terrible break in mid-April we had a rally and then a decline. Trying to choose a suitable stock or mutual fund has been like grasping at shadows.

Two great Wall Street gurus, Elaine Garzarelli who manages multimillions of investors' dollars and George Soros, king of the hedge funds, each have a different take on the future.

Elaine thinks the Dow Jones Industrials will be at 12,000 to 12,500 by the end of the year. Big George says we are in a bear market and must be very careful where to invest money right now. Another pundit I saw on CNBC whose name I can't remember made a very good case for a trading range for the next several months.

Let's examine the psychology of the majority of investors at this moment in time. Almost every one of them has been beaten with a large stick and big paper profits have been taken from their wallets. They haven't really lost anything, but their enthusiasm for putting more money into the market has been greatly diminished. Most of the financial columnists and talking heads are saying this is a time for caution. The old "buy the break" conventional wisdom seems to have disappeared. How is this going to affect the entire market?

It takes more buyers than sellers to put the market up. That takes conviction and enthusiasm, both of which seem to be lacking. Until the little investor gets back his confidence it makes sense that this market has more chance of going sideways than of making any new contract highs.

There is so much bearish sentiment about what Mr. Greenspan is going to say next week that it may turn into a nonevent. In fact because of all this negative sentiment whatever he does may already be factored into the market. Even if it is a sharp interest rate increase the market may throw it off and move up much to everyone's surprise. A negative event followed by a market rise is quite bullish as we saw from the unemployment number on Friday. That 3.9% unemployment number should have made the market go down, but it went the other way. We could be in for a rally this week.

I believe that if a stock or mutual fund is not going up with a strong momentum you should not buy it. Right now almost all mutual funds are going sideways. There is plenty of time to get invested so the best thing to do is wait until a definite upward trend is established and then buy it.

Since none of the great market mavens can agree then who must you rely upon? You know. You must reply upon your own judgment. Not a broker, not a banker, not an economist, not the guy on CNBC. You. Your guess is just as good as anyone else. You.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

1-888-345-7870; [email protected]

In The News:

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27-year-old rule changed: Disclosure limit on MF, stock investment up for bureaucrats  Economic TimesGroup A and B officials had to intimate government if total transaction in shares or MFs exceeded Rs 50K.
These are fertile grounds for long-term stock pickers, says Samir Rachh of Reliance Mutual Fund  Economic TimesSmall cap funds are going through a rough patch after a bull run in 2017.
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Controversy, dissent and baggage are good for your stock portfolio  CNBCLooking back at buys and sells over the years, the best decisions came after healthy debate.
What top mutual funds bought and sold last month  LivemintMumbai: Inflows into Indian equity mutual funds in January were the smallest in two years as heightened market volatility and political uncertainty cooled ...
FPIs go big on stocks of financials, mutual funds on energy and IT sectors  Business StandardForeign portfolio investors (FPIs) added positions in stocks of financials, and reduced their exposure to the energy sector, an analysis of December 2018 quarter ...
What India's top three MFs bought and sold in January  Economic TimesStock funds took in a net Rs 6160 crore, the least since January 2017.
Quick Take | Covered calls for mutual funds will help stabilise NAV fluctuations  Moneycontrol.comAllowing mutual funds to participate in the options market will bring more liquidity to stock options and stabilise returns for the fund.
These stocks see mutual fund inflows for 8th straight quarter; are they worth a look?  Economic TimesAt least 20 listed stocks on the BSE have been major beneficiaries.
Bharat 22 to buy Rs 2,500 crore worth of shares from market  Economic TimesMumbai: Bharat 22 ETF is expected to buy shares worth Rs 2,500-3,000 crore from the open market to maintain government's stake at or over 52 per cent in the ...
All eyes on Zee, Dish TV stock movement  Economic TimesThe prospect of a further plunge in the shares of Zee Entertainment and Dish TV, which would deepen the disarray in the Essel Group, has put their ...
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Mutual funds and FIIs suffer big losses in Zee, Vedanta, DHFL stocks  Business StandardMutual funds (MFs) and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have seen sharp erosion in the value of their investments as allegations of corporate governance ...
DHFL trouble could further impact debt MF flows: CS  Economic TimesMUMBAI: Credit Suisse believes that debt mutual funds could see a second wave of risk aversion in three months and volatility in flows because of their ...
Sebi issues new format for mutual funds' monthly report  Economic TimesFrom April 2019 onwards, AMCs will have to submit the MCR to Sebi in the new format by the third working day of each month.
Here are the top 3 sectors mutual funds were betting on in December  Moneycontrol.comThe funds deployed 21.85 percent of their equity assets under management (AUM) into the banking sector.
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In a bear market, the best offense is a good defense  MarketWatchA bear market, when it comes, will feel like an attack on your financial security.
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UPDATE 1-U.S.-based emerging market stock funds attract most cash since Jan 2018 -Lipper  ReutersU.S. fund investors emboldened by cautious monetary policy are adding stakes in emerging-market stocks at the fastest pace in about a year, Lipper data ...
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Stock Update: Investors Keen on International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) as their share price hit $136.48 at the end of the most recent ...
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Stock Review: Investors Keen on PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE:PFSI) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE:PFSI) as their share price hit $22.52 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Trading Review: Investors Taking a Second Look at Focus Financial Partners Inc. (:FOCS) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Focus Financial Partners Inc. (:FOCS) as their share price hit $29.53 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Market Review: Investors Keen on Federal Realty Investment Trust (NYSE:FRT) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Federal Realty Investment Trust (NYSE:FRT) as their share price hit $134.22 at the end of the most recent trading session ...
Trading News: Investors Keen on Shares of EPR Properties (NYSE:EPR) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over EPR Properties (NYSE:EPR) as their share price hit $74.68 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Mutual funds bet big on these 30 stocks in November; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comMF industry assets grew to Rs 23.4 lakh crore, on the back of improved inflows into liquid funds and steady equity markets.
Equity News: Investors Keen on Kforce, Inc. (NASDAQ:KFRC) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Kforce, Inc. (NASDAQ:KFRC) as their share price hit $37.04 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Equity Watch: Investors Keen on Shares of ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:CNOB) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:CNOB) as their share price hit $20.97 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trading News: Investors Focusing on Shares of CBRE Group, Inc. (:CBRE) as Company Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over CBRE Group, Inc. (:CBRE) as their share price hit $49.48 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Taking stock: Know how your mutual funds fared  Moneycontrol.comEnd of the year is a good time to sit back and take stock of how your investments have done in the year gone by. It's common knowledge that many investors ...
Market Review: Investors Focusing on Shares of American Water Works Company, Inc. (NYSE:AWK) as Company Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over American Water Works Company, Inc. (NYSE:AWK) as their share price hit $97.25 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Trend Watch: Investors Keen on Adaptimmune Therapeutics PLC (NASDAQ:ADAP) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Adaptimmune Therapeutics PLC (NASDAQ:ADAP) as their share price hit $4.84 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Shares Review: Investors Keen on Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) as their share price hit $81.85 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock Review: Investors Keen on Catasys Inc. (OTCMKTS:CATS) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Catasys Inc. (OTCMKTS:CATS) as their share price hit $11.96 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trend Update: Investors Keen on Prologis, Inc. (NYSE:PLD) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Prologis, Inc. (NYSE:PLD) as their share price hit $70.85 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Keen Investors Taking a Closer Look at ManTech International Corporation (NASDAQ:MANT)  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over ManTech International Corporation (NASDAQ:MANT) as their share price hit $57.18 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Investors Taking Another Look at Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) After Recent Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) as their share price hit $73.97 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Investors Keen on WSFS Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:WSFS) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over WSFS Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:WSFS) as their share price hit $41.4 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Market Watch: Investors Taking a Second Look at Goosehead Insurance Inc. (:GSHD) After Recent Market Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Goosehead Insurance Inc. (:GSHD) as their share price hit $31.195 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Digging Deeper: Investors Keen on Invitation Home Inc. (:INVH) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Invitation Home Inc. (:INVH) as their share price hit $22.75 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Investors Taking Another Look at Toro Company (The) (NYSE:TTC) After Recent Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Toro Company (The) (NYSE:TTC) as their share price hit $62.14 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trading News: Investors Keen on Shares of Independent Bank Group, Inc (NASDAQ:IBTX) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Independent Bank Group, Inc (NASDAQ:IBTX) as their share price hit $56.35 at the end of the most recent trading session ...
Trend Focus: Investors Keen on Retail Properties of America, Inc. (NYSE:RPAI) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Retail Properties of America, Inc. (NYSE:RPAI) as their share price hit $12.75 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Investors Taking Another Look at UROGEN PHARMA (:URGN) After Recent Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over UROGEN PHARMA (:URGN) as their share price hit $40.54 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trading Focus: Investors Keen on Robert Half International Inc. (NYSE:RHI) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Robert Half International Inc. (NYSE:RHI) as their share price hit $66.28 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Trend Update: Investors Keen on National Storage Affiliates Trust (NYSE:NSA) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over National Storage Affiliates Trust (NYSE:NSA) as their share price hit $28.49 at the end of the most recent trading session.
John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (:JW.A): Headlining Stock Attracting Attention  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (:JW.A) as their share price hit $52.06 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock Review: Investors Keen on ChromaDex Corporation (:CDXC) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over ChromaDex Corporation (:CDXC) as their share price hit $3.58 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Shares News: Investors Keen on EYEPOINT PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (:EYPT) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over EYEPOINT PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (:EYPT) as their share price hit $2.72 at the end of the most recent trading session ...
Many Investors Taking a Second Look at Array BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) After Recent Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Array BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) as their share price hit $22.04 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Stock Review: Investors Keen on Marcus Corporation (The) (NYSE:MCS) as it Makes Waves With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Marcus Corporation (The) (NYSE:MCS) as their share price hit $40.64 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Check out what top five mutual funds bought & sold during October selloff  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Mutual funds stood resilient as industry's asset base increased to Rs 22.23 lakh crore in October in spite of a heavy correction in the domestic ...
This Marijuana Stock Just Made History (No, It's Not Canopy Growth)  Motley FoolAn off-the-radar company in cannabis took a huge step toward mainstream acceptance.
Union Bankshares Corporation (NASDAQ:UBSH): Headlining Stock Attracting Attention  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Union Bankshares Corporation (NASDAQ:UBSH) as their share price hit $34.39 at the end of the most recent trading ...
Stock Review: Investors Keen on Insmed, Inc. (NASDAQ:INSM) as it Makes Headlines With Moves  The Coin GuildMajor market players are buzzing over Insmed, Inc. (NASDAQ:INSM) as their share price hit $26.1 at the end of the most recent trading session.
Fund managers ready to go shopping after sharp correction in stocks  Moneycontrol.comMutual funds that were holding around 8-10 percent cash level in their equity portfolio are likely to purchase shares of companies in banking and financial ...
When should you sell your mutual fund schemes? - Stocks and equity mutual funds are different  Economic TimesInvesting in an individual stock and equity mutual fund scheme is different. You must look at various parameters like key ratios while investing in a stock. Hence ...
Mutual funds may need smart bets on smallcap stocks to beat ETF show  Economic TimesSmallcap stocks could see up to ₹1 lakh cr inflow as fund managers look for potential winners: Analysts.
Hot and Cold Stocks of Mutual Funds in October 2018  MoneylifeIn October 2018, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank were the most preferred stocks of Indian mutual funds. The net purchases of Axis Bank were Rs1,504 crore, of which ...
Shall I buy the HDFC AMC stock or mutual fund?  LivemintThe HDFC Asset Management Co. Ltd stock closed 65% up on the first day of listing over its IPO price of ₹ 1,100 per share. Investors who sold on day one, saw ...
LDI Strategies and Preparing DB Plans for Recessions  PLANSPONSORSpeakers on a PGIM Fixed Income webcast offered practical steps pension plan sponsors can take today and over time to protect funding levels; they suggested ...
Is your mutual fund buying or selling stocks too much?  LivemintA mutual fund scheme's turnover ratio tells you how frequently its fund manager buys and sells the underlying stocks. Typically, higher the turnover ratio, more ...

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