Who Knows?

The Shadow knows. Remember him? It seems a shadow has a firm grip on this stock market. Since the terrible break in mid-April we had a rally and then a decline. Trying to choose a suitable stock or mutual fund has been like grasping at shadows.

Two great Wall Street gurus, Elaine Garzarelli who manages multimillions of investors' dollars and George Soros, king of the hedge funds, each have a different take on the future.

Elaine thinks the Dow Jones Industrials will be at 12,000 to 12,500 by the end of the year. Big George says we are in a bear market and must be very careful where to invest money right now. Another pundit I saw on CNBC whose name I can't remember made a very good case for a trading range for the next several months.

Let's examine the psychology of the majority of investors at this moment in time. Almost every one of them has been beaten with a large stick and big paper profits have been taken from their wallets. They haven't really lost anything, but their enthusiasm for putting more money into the market has been greatly diminished. Most of the financial columnists and talking heads are saying this is a time for caution. The old "buy the break" conventional wisdom seems to have disappeared. How is this going to affect the entire market?

It takes more buyers than sellers to put the market up. That takes conviction and enthusiasm, both of which seem to be lacking. Until the little investor gets back his confidence it makes sense that this market has more chance of going sideways than of making any new contract highs.

There is so much bearish sentiment about what Mr. Greenspan is going to say next week that it may turn into a nonevent. In fact because of all this negative sentiment whatever he does may already be factored into the market. Even if it is a sharp interest rate increase the market may throw it off and move up much to everyone's surprise. A negative event followed by a market rise is quite bullish as we saw from the unemployment number on Friday. That 3.9% unemployment number should have made the market go down, but it went the other way. We could be in for a rally this week.

I believe that if a stock or mutual fund is not going up with a strong momentum you should not buy it. Right now almost all mutual funds are going sideways. There is plenty of time to get invested so the best thing to do is wait until a definite upward trend is established and then buy it.

Since none of the great market mavens can agree then who must you rely upon? You know. You must reply upon your own judgment. Not a broker, not a banker, not an economist, not the guy on CNBC. You. Your guess is just as good as anyone else. You.

Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.

1-888-345-7870; [email protected]

In The News:

Top 10 stocks that mutual fund managers bought and sold in March 2019  Moneycontrol.comData for equity flows into mutual funds for March came as a breather after a weak February. An increase in net inflows in equity and income category led to the ...
Active mutual funds fail to reflect index gains  Economic TimesThe Nifty, which has hit all-time highs for the second time in April, has advanced 12% in the last one year. But these gains are yet to reflect in many mutual funds' ...
Relief for investors as mutual funds chose SpiceJet, IndiGo over Jet Airways  LivemintMumbai: As Jet Airways (India) Ltd moves from flight cancellations to a complete halt, mutual funds stand relatively well-positioned. Few mutual fund schemes ...
What India's top three mutual funds bought and sold in March  Economic TimesIndias largest money manager held 1.5 trillion rupees in equities.
MFs used March rally to realign holdings; so what’s the ‘in’ thing this poll season  Economic TimesThe quarter witnessed a deterioration in mutual fund flows into equities.
Mutual funds shooting themselves in the foot?  Economic TimesWhat if banks take a leaf out of Kotak and HDFC Mutual Funds' decision to direct investors to come another day to get their money instead of paying them on the ...
Birla MF looks to parachute out of Jet Airways crashing stock  Business StandardBirla Sun Life Mutual Fund (MF) — the only fund house holding Jet Airways shares in its actively managed schemes — off-loaded Rs 13 crore worth of shares in ...
SIPs in equity MFs log 10.26% annual returns in five years, beat gold, FDs  Economic TimesMUMBAI: Investors investing money in equity mutual funds through systematic investment plans (SIPs) have earned an average return of 10.26% in the last five ...
Mutual Funds bet big on banks, exposure up about 50% from FY18-end  Business StandardMutual funds (MFs) are shuffling their sectoral exposures for 2019-2020 as they look to improve their portfolio returns. MFs' exposure to the banking sector ...
Mutual funds sell several blue chips stocks, buy mid-caps in March  Business StandardDomestic money managers were seen pruning their holdings in several blue-chip stocks, including Reliance Industries (RIL) and Housing Development Finance ...
BJP’s Amit Shah has diversified stock investment portfolio; Rahul Gandhi prefers mutual funds  Economic TimesShah held shares worth Rs 17.56 cr as of March 22, while Gandhi has MFs worth Rs 5.19 cr.
Investors feel fund managers taking them for granted: Polls  Economic TimesSome 82 per cent of the respondents felt money managers took investors for granted.
Here’s a better tool to judge mutual fund performance than simple 1-year, 3-year returns  Economic TimesOne invests in mutual funds to earn potentially higher returns than those in traditional investment products, and I'm sure everyone looks at the one-year, ...
Siemens, Thermax, BHEL on fund managers’ radar  Economic TimesIn the month of March, fund managers have shown keen interest in companies largely in the capital goods sector and select ones in niche sectors. There are two ...
Mutual fund investments: Sector funds not always a safe bet  LivemintMumbai: While looking at mutual fund investment options, you might think that it is an easier bet to just pick a well performing sector that has delivered ...
Mutual funds or direct equity investment – which is better?  Economic TimesOne big question that often dogs investors is which investing option should they opt for: mutual fund or direct equity? Katalyst Wealth's Ekansh Mittal ends your ...
Top 30 stocks that fund managers bought & sold in March; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comTop 30 stocks which witnessed strong buying according to change in value include names like NTPC, ICICI Prudential, L&T, SBI Life, SBI, Jubilant Food, Maruti, ...
Best ELSS funds to invest in FY 2019-20  Economic TimesHere are four ELSS schemes that are relatively new but have delivered superior risk-adjusted returns.
Flows to equity mutual funds rebound as rally spurs risk appetite  Economic TimesStock funds took in about 118 billion rupees ($1.7 billion), the highest since October.
Homegrown MFs pip foreign funds to bag top slots in India  Economic TimesLarge homegrown mutual funds have pipped some longtime foreign funds as the top institutional investors in the Indian stock market. Out of the top five ...
What is Smallcase? Should you invest in stocks via these?  Economic TimesOne invests in the market either by buying individual stocks through a broker or by putting money in equity funds or exchange traded funds. Brokerages are now ...
Common investment mistakes to avoid  LivemintRemember, time in the market is key, so don't get affected by volatile conditions.Here are some common mistakes you should avoid while investing.
SIP returns from equity mutual funds lag benchmark in 5-years of Modi govt  Times NowNew Delhi: Investors investing in equity mutual funds through systematic investment plans (SIPs) have earned an average return of 10.26% in the last five years ...
L&T Midcap Fund: Mutual fund review  Economic TimesThe scheme is a consistent performer despite being in a highly volatile category of mid-sized companies.
Stock Mutual Funds Dominate List Of Best Funds For 2019  Investor's Business DailyWhen looking to add investments to your portfolio, you might want to start with the best stock mutual funds listed in the IBD Best Mutual Funds Awards for 2019.
Here's what millennials can do to make money from equity market  Moneycontrol.comDirect equities may not be the best option for those who are starting out; stick to mutual funds' systematic investment plans.
Growth Stock Mutual Funds Racked Up Impressive Returns In Q1 On Easy Fed And Better Data  Investor's Business DailyLarge-cap growth stock mutual funds had the upper hand among the top-performing stock funds in March, rising 2.43%. Midcap growth funds led in Q1 with a ...
Should I add more schemes to my mutual fund portfolio?  Economic TimesI am 24 years old. I have a very high risk appetite (aggressive). My horizon is more than five years and beyond for medium to long term goals and retirement.
Best Mutual Funds 2019 Awards Spotlight Top Market-Beating Funds Of All Kinds  Investor's Business DailyAre you looking for funds that beat the market recently and have great long-term returns too? Check out the winners of IBD's Best Mutual Funds 2019 Awards.
Explainer |Total return index: How does it impact you as a mutual fund investor  Moneycontrol.comIt makes the job a bit more difficult for the fund manager as TRI is a higher benchmark as against the price index.
The Mutual Fund Show: Should You Invest In A Smart Beta Fund?  BloombergQuintAs stock markets evolve, so do the methods or ways to invest in them. A smart beta fund, often powered by computer algorithms, combines the benefits of ...
Mirae Asset India Equity Fund to be reclassified as large cap - What should investors do?  LivemintMirae Asset's flagship equity scheme, the ₹10,560-crore Mirae Asset India Equity fund is being reclassified from multi-cap to large-cap and will be known as ...
The Pinterest IPO Might Have Made You Richer—Even If You Didn't Buy the Stock Today  FortuneYou didn't necessarily need to buy stock in the Pinterest IPO to make money off the public market debut of the online scrapbooking company. It's often difficult for ...
75% midcap, smallcap funds outperformed their benchmarks in 2018  Economic TimesDespite broader market facing challenging environment in 2018, around 75 per cent actively managed midcap and smallcap equity funds outpaced their ...
BQEdge: Investing In Debt Better Than Buying Some Of The Consumer Stocks, Says S Naren  BloombergQuintThe top fund manager at India's second-largest mutual fund considers investment in debt better than buying stocks of some consumer companies.
4 financial opportunities to grab before March 31  Economic TimesSome taxpayers might not have been able to complete their tax planning for the year. If you are among them, dont panic.
Banking funds beat the market in March; international funds hit  Moneycontrol.comAmong international funds, the worst hit scheme was HSBC Brazil Fund that gave a negative average return of 7.33 percent, followed by Franklin India ...
How Many Stocks/Funds Are Too Many?  GoodreturnsYou've done your budgeting and understood your financial goals. Analyzed your risk-taking appetite, and defined what you want your money to do for you.
Investors’ widely held beliefs about ETFs and index funds may be wrong  MarketWatchLow-cost funds may be fixing the wrong problem, new data suggest.
Only regret is dropping the original name - Mirae Asset India Equity Fund: Swarup Mohanty  Economic TimesMirae Asset AMC is changing the basic character of its popular multi cap scheme -- Mirae Asset India Equity Fund. The scheme will be converted into a large cap ...
Paytm Money Gets Approval For Stock Trading; Will This App Disrupt $2.3 Trillion Stock Market?  Trak.inPaytm Money has got the approval from SEBI to launch stock market trading on its platform; Mutual funds is already sold via Paytm Money.
7 No-Load Mutual Funds to Buy  Investorplace.comA mutual fund load is real nuisance because it goes to compensate a middleman These no-load mutual funds let you keep more of your money.
Investing Insights: Stock Funds for Retirees, Bank Earnings  Morningstar.comOn this week's podcast, special guest Michael Kitces on finding an advisor you like, plus a preview of Big Pharma earnings and niche funds for your portfolio.
How mutual funds turned recent crises into opportunities: Nimesh Shah, ICICI Pru AMC  Economic TimesEvery crisis in financial markets is also an opportunity to make money. And some of the nimble-footed fund houses on Dalal Street have been doing exactly that ...
‘Non-transparent’ ETFs set to be a boon for fund managers  Financial TimesRegulators give nod to new tool that mimics active fund management.
The Top Index Funds for 2019  The Motley FoolIt's been almost 45 years since Jack Bogle founded the Vanguard Group and launched the very first index fund. The launch of the Vanguard 500 Index Fund ...
The Paradox of Skill Isn't Stock-Fund Managers' Only Problem  Morningstar.comTrouble With the Curve Michael Mauboussin of BlueMountain Capital Management released a paper about bond management, "Looking for Easy Games in ...
You can capture a dividend above 5% and still enjoy stock-market growth  MarketWatchJeff Jonas of Gabelli talks about a closed-end fund that invests in the health-care and consumer staples sectors.
45 smallcap stocks rallied 50-195% since October 26; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comAfter hitting 10,000 levels on October 26, 2018, Nifty started its upward journey and closed at record closing high on April 16. Sensex also scaled *fresh* closing ...
450 fund schemes own this priciest lender & red flag is up on valuation  Economic TimesThe stock is favourites among both funds managers and market analysts.
Sensex ends FY19 with the biggest gain in 4 fiscal years  LivemintMumbai: Indian equities outperformed other asset classes in Fiscal Year 2018-19, the last trading session of which was on Friday. Gaining 17.30% in FY19, ...
Stocks in the news: Tata Motors, NBCC, Vedanta, MT Educare and Bank of Baroda  Economic TimesS&P said it had downgraded its credit rating on JLR, and its owner Tata Motors.
‘How is this possible?’ Analysts puzzle over stock market’s rally amid equity-fund exodus  MarketWatchU.S. stocks at the end of March posted their best quarter in nearly a decade, but they did so without help from investors in U.S. stock mutual funds and ...
4 Top BlackRock Mutual Funds for Striking Gains  Zacks.comBelow we share with you four top-ranked BlackRock funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy)
3 Northern Mutual Funds for Stellar Gains  NasdaqFounded in 1889, Northern Trusts manages assets worth over $1.1 trillion (as of Dec 31, 2018) based on assets raised in the country. The company.
Cramer: Overvalued stocks like Pinterest, Zoom could lead to a market peak  CNBCThe debuts of Pinterest and Zoom Video Communications on public markets also came with froth, which could lead to a market peak, CNBC's Jim Cramer said ...
Federal Reserve signals for Indian investments  Economic TimesGlobal G-10 bond markets have seen a structural bull trend over the last three decades.
VTI: The ETF Alternative To VTSAX  Seeking AlphaThe Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF is the ETF alternative to the world's largest mutual fund, VTSAX. VTI provides investors a simple, cost effective way to own.
7 Retirement Rules to Live By  The Motley FoolTake these rules to heart and act on them to make your retirement much more comfortable and secure.
3 Noteworthy Energy Mutual Funds for Q2  Zacks.comOil has witnessed significant gains this year, thanks to production cuts, U.S. sanctions and IMO regulations.
On Investments: MarineMax and Miller Industries may be undiscovered gems  Omaha World-HeraldYour odds of finding an undiscovered gem are higher, in my opinion, in the realm of small stocks. That's why I've always been partial to them.
Fears of US economic recession: How your investments are likely to be impacted  Economic TimesThere are signs that the US economy is heading for a recession. Find out how this will affect your investments.
Market Movers: What changed for D-Street while you were sleeping  Economic TimesAsian stocks tumbled this morning. Will domestic equities hold ground?
High-Wire IPOs Like Pinterest and Zoom Could Signal a Market Top  Barron'sStocks' melt-up could signal that the bull market has entered its final, blowoff stage. Also, will negative interest rates come to America?
4 Reasons Why a High-Dividend Stock Isn't Worth It  U.S. News & World ReportInvestors who want to amp up their income with high-dividend-yield stocks should think twice before buying a stock for its attractive payout. RELATED *CONTENT*.
7 stocks most favoured by mutual funds over last one year  Economic TimesAs the markets hit a speed bump, stocks favoured by mutual funds appear to be safer bets.
When mutual funds make more sense than ETFs  The Globe and MailAlthough sales and popularity of ETFs have been on a tear, there are times when mutual funds may be preferable for some investors.
Can mutual funds give multibagger returns like stocks?  Economic TimesStocks can be multibaggers. They can offer extraordinary returns in a very short period. Can mutual funds ever do that? This was a question thrown at Rajeev ...
Watch Out: 3 More TFSA Mistakes to Avoid  Yahoo Canada FinanceLast week, I went over three TFSA mistakes that investors need to avoid. With tax season wrapping up for most Canadians, it is worth going over three more ...
Lyft Stock Is Crashing So Hard Even Its Early Investors Could Lose Money  MONEYSince going public in late March, Lyft's stock price has plummeted. Originally priced at $72 per share – the stock jumped as high as $88 on March 29, it's first day ...
Govt tweaks rules, increases limit to disclose investment in stocks, mutual funds for employees  Economic TimesNew Delhi: The Centre has increased the over 26-year-old monetary limit on disclosure of investment in shares and mutual funds by employees to six months of ...
How stocks picked by mutual funds over 2014 to 2017 have performed  Economic TimesWhile the most wanted stocks of 2014 and 2015 have done well, the recent picks have disappointed.
Mutual funds bet big on these 30 stocks in November; do you own any?  Moneycontrol.comThe Indian equity market rose about 5 percent in November but what was more heartening to see was inflows into mutual funds. Investors pumped Rs 1.4 lakh ...
The 5 Best Vanguard Funds for Retirees  Kiplinger's Personal FinanceMost of Vanguard's offerings do right by investors, but these are the best Vanguard funds specifically for the retirement-minded.
What top 5 money managers bought and sold in February  Economic TimesFebruary was the fourth consecutive month of decline in net investment into equity mutual funds.
Check out what top five mutual funds bought & sold during October selloff  Economic TimesNEW DELHI: Mutual funds stood resilient as industry's asset base increased to Rs 22.23 lakh crore in October in spite of a heavy correction in the domestic ...
Why it is a bad idea to always look for outperformers while investing in mutual funds  Economic TimesOne of the most important features that any investor, wealth adviser or anyone in the financial media looks for in an investment product is its track record in ...
Mutual Funds increase holding in ‘attractively valued’ oil & gas stocks  Economic TimesMUMBAI: Mutual funds have been adding shares of oil and gas companies such as GAIL, HPCL, BPCL and ONGC over the last few months, encouraged by ...
Mutual funds may need smart bets on smallcap stocks to beat ETF show  Economic TimesSmallcap stocks could see up to ₹1 lakh cr inflow as fund managers look for potential winners: Analysts.
When should you sell your mutual fund schemes? - Stocks and equity mutual funds are different  Economic TimesInvesting in an individual stock and equity mutual fund scheme is different. You must look at various parameters like key ratios while investing in a stock. Hence ...
What India’s top three mutual funds bought and sold in February  BusinessLineInflows into Indian equity mutual funds in February were the smallest in more than two years as savers held back investments amid market volatility and ...
Here are 30 stocks that fund managers bought & sold in February  Moneycontrol.comEven the month of February witnessed the lowest inflow in equity mutual funds in the last 2 years. Only Rs 5122 crore of *fresh* inflows took place in equity funds.
Quantum Mutual Fund uses cash pile to buy stocks cheap  Economic TimesQuantum Long Term Equity Value Fund, where value investing is the pronounced fund allocation theme, has brought down the level of cash at its plan to the ...
How income from stocks and mutual funds are taxed for an individual  Moneycontrol.comCapital gains from transfer of unlisted share are considered as STCG where period of holding is less than or equal to 24 months, and LTCG when holding period ...
Mutual funds' exposure to banks hits 3-month low of Rs 1.88 lakh crore in Sept  Economic TimesMutual funds' holding of banking stocks declined by over Rs 21,600 crore to Rs 1.88 lakh crore in September, driven by the correction in equity markets.
Inflows to equity funds slow for third straight month in Jan at Rs 6,158 crore  Economic TimesSluggish returns, volatile equity markets and India's complex political situation are having a bearing on investment flow into domestic equity funds. Inflows into ...
Fund managers ready to go shopping after sharp correction in stocks  Moneycontrol.comDomestic fund managers are capitalising on the market fall and buying shares as they feel the valuations have become attractive after a sharp correction in the ...
Why your core equity portfolio should be in index mutual funds  Economic TimesInvestors flock to the performing fund “after” it has beaten the index. Fund selection is not an exact science, and there will be hits and misses.
Is it a good time to invest in small-cap mutual fund schemes?  Economic TimesDespite the slide in the Nifty Smallcap100 index, fund houses seem to be placing faith in small-cap funds again. Should investors take the cue?
What top mutual funds bought and sold last month  LivemintMumbai: Inflows into Indian equity mutual funds in January were the smallest in two years as heightened market volatility and political uncertainty cooled ...
Should you shift from large-cap mutual funds to index funds?  Economic TimesThe index fund category of mutual fund schemes is slowly gaining traction among investors. The fortunes of index funds are changing as not only are they being ...
Why stock market volatility is beneficial for mutual fund SIP investors  Economic TimesWhile investing through systematic investment plans, you make more money precisely because the markets are facing volatility.
Why stopping mutual fund SIPs when stock market falls can jeopardise your financial goals  Economic TimesThe 806-point drop in the Sensex on Oct 4 was the fifth biggest single day loss in the past five years.
Gold, mutual funds, equity - where to invest in 2019?  Moneycontrol.comAs we enter 2019, the question on everyone's mind is: can we say goodbye to market volatility that 2018 unleashed upon us? The answer may not be that simple ...
Sebi seeks to make mutual funds' valuation process fairer  Economic TimesThe Sebi board approved easing of norms for raising of funds through instruments like real estate and infrastructure investment trusts.
Sebi issues new format for mutual funds' monthly report  Economic TimesFrom April 2019 onwards, AMCs will have to submit the MCR to Sebi in the new format by the third working day of each month.
Mutual fund investing for the conservative: Should you stick to largecap funds only?  Moneycontrol.comFinancial planners advocate investing in equity mutual funds to beat inflation and build a corpus that will cater to one's future needs, even if one is a conservative ...
Three large mutual funds opposed to L&T’s takeover of Mindtree  Economic TimesMUMBAI: Three large mutual funds holding shares of Mindtree are opposed to L&T's hostile takeover attempt of the mid-sized software company.
How your mutual funds played the balancing act during stocks crash  Economic TimesAs with market cap allocations, equity funds seem to be maintaining their sectoral exposures.
Why HDFC Bank stock is among the top picks of mutual funds  Business TodayPrivate sector lender HDFC Bank, the third-largest Indian firm by market capitalisation, is among the favourite stocks in the portfolios of mutual funds. Despite ...

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